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Rayquaza Promo

PSA 10Simulated

Rayquaza Promo · Evolving Skies · Promo · 14/237

Character: Rayquaza

high confidencebullish8630d 24.6%
Estimated Fair Value
$395
Lowest listing $3677.2% below
Bear Case
$333
Base Case
$395
Bull Case
$460

Price History

Dec 2Range $309$494May 30

Opportunity Score

50
  • Sales accelerating+9 pts
  • 7% below fair value+8 pts
  • Price up 25% over 30 days+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • Population growth slowing+3 pts
  • Strong demand (6 sales/mo)+2 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish86

Rayquaza Promo (PSA 10) is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+24.6%). Estimated fair value is $395 against a lowest active listing of $367. Valuation confidence is high based on 13-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+24.6% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
13
Sales / Month
6.5
Velocity Score
33/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
+21.6%
Total Graded
5,442
Gem Mint
2,494
Population Growth
+3.0%
Slowing

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps367.3950%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices419.725%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection382.825%
population pressureAdjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value)-1.5150%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)4.3220%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$390PWCCGraded703d agoJan 1View
$412PWCCGraded9715d agoJan 1View
$479MercariGraded9221d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$437eBayGraded10h ago
$384MercariGraded1d ago
$438MercariGraded6d ago
$424eBayGraded9d ago
$410Facebook MarketplaceGraded10d ago
$494PWCCGraded16d ago
$463PWCCGraded17d ago
$507TCGPlayerGraded18d ago
$482Facebook MarketplaceGraded19d ago
$459eBayGraded19d ago
$494eBayGraded20d ago
$451Facebook MarketplaceGraded22d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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