Rayquaza Promo
PSA 10SimulatedRayquaza Promo · Evolving Skies · Promo · 14/237
Character: Rayquaza
Price History
Opportunity Score
50- Sales accelerating+9 pts
- 7% below fair value+8 pts
- Price up 25% over 30 days+8 pts
- Reputable seller+7 pts
- High valuation confidence+6 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Population growth slowing+3 pts
- Strong demand (6 sales/mo)+2 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish86Rayquaza Promo (PSA 10) is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+24.6%). Estimated fair value is $395 against a lowest active listing of $367. Valuation confidence is high based on 13-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+24.6% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 367.39 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 419.7 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 382.8 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -1.51 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 4.32 | 20% |
Active Listings
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $437 | eBay | Graded | 10h ago |
| $384 | Mercari | Graded | 1d ago |
| $438 | Mercari | Graded | 6d ago |
| $424 | eBay | Graded | 9d ago |
| $410 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 10d ago |
| $494 | PWCC | Graded | 16d ago |
| $463 | PWCC | Graded | 17d ago |
| $507 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 18d ago |
| $482 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 19d ago |
| $459 | eBay | Graded | 19d ago |
| $494 | eBay | Graded | 20d ago |
| $451 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 22d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charizard Holo RareEvolving SkiesSimulated
| $240 | $211 | 11.9% | 5.1% | 21 | 41 |
Charizard ex (Illustration Rare)Evolving SkiesBGS 9.5Simulated
| $581 | $561 | 3.3% | 11.3% | 5 | 42 |
MoonbreonEvolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
| $1,595 | $1,490 | 6.5% | 4.6% | 15 | 37 |
Umbreon Holo RareEvolving SkiesBGS 9Simulated
| $306 | $311 | -1.6% | 0.8% | 5 | 29 |
Rayquaza ex (Illustration Rare)Base SetSimulated
| $931 | $816 | 12.3% | 12.1% | 22 | 44 |
Rayquaza VMAX (Alt Art)Evolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
| $740 | $612 | 17.4% | 11.8% | 11 | 66 |