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Zeraora VMAX — Crown Zenith — Rare Holo VMAX

Zeraora VMAX

Simulated

Zeraora VMAX · Crown Zenith · Rare Holo VMAX · 54

Character: Zeraora

high confidenceneutral5930d 1.9%
Estimated Fair Value
$54.07
Lowest listing $49.618.3% below
Search live listings:eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
Bear Case
$45.83
Base Case
$54.07
Bull Case
$62.34

Price History

Dec 8Range $52.96 – $83.26Jun 5

Opportunity Score

36
  • 8% below fair value+10 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (18 sales/mo)+5 pts

Investment Thesis

neutral59

Zeraora VMAX is currently modestly undervalued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (-1.9%). Estimated fair value is $54 against a lowest active listing of $50. Valuation confidence is high based on 20-plus modeled comparable sales.

Neutral: flat 30-day price action with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
20
Sales / Month
18.0
Velocity Score
90/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
-0.4%
Confidence
97/100

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.

Grading ROI (model)
-34.1%
Grading not economical
unknown population

No population data reported for this asset.

Raw cost
$49.61
All-in cost
$78.61+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
Graded value (per gem)
$198
Expected proceeds
$51.7930% gem → $59.53 · less 13% fee
Net profit / card
-$26.82
Breakeven graded value
$301value needed to break even

Adjust modeled assumptions

These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.

  • Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
  • Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
  • Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
  • Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Simulated
Days to sell
1.5dmodeled median sale gap
Sell-through
46.0%over 90d window
Bid-ask spread
+7.0%lowest ask vs sold avg
Inventory depth
22active listings
Recent sold avg
$60.69mean over 90d
Lowest ask
$64.91cheapest active listing

Comp Explorer

Min
$54.04
Median
$61.54
Mean
$65.43
Max
$87.14

Showing 29 of 29 sales

These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps52.8950%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices56.7425%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection53.9325%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)-0.0820%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$64.91PWCCNear Mint6859d agoJan 1View
$65.10eBayNear Mint8965d agoJan 1View
$65.38PWCCNear Mint6760d agoJan 1View
$68.24PWCCNear Mint9069d agoJan 1View
$69.19TCGPlayerNear Mint8755d agoJun 7View
$69.47Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint9374d agoJan 1View
$69.67TCGPlayerNear Mint6669d agoJan 1View
$70.49MercariNear Mint9771d agoJan 1View
$71.12MercariNear Mint9171d agoJan 1View
$72.68Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint7356d agoJun 6View
$72.82Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint8762d agoJan 1View
$73.86PWCCNear Mint8359d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$67.74eBayNear Mint55d ago
$62.21TCGPlayerNear Mint58d ago
$72.35PWCCNear Mint60d ago
$66.78Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint62d ago
$64.62Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint63d ago
$61.08TCGPlayerNear Mint65d ago
$67.75Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint67d ago
$59.26Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint68d ago
$58.78PWCCNear Mint70d ago
$55.53MercariNear Mint71d ago
$54.04Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint78d ago
$57.77TCGPlayerNear Mint81d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Fair value basis
Simulated
Lowest ask (deal)
Simulated
Active listings
Simulated
Card image
Live
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Liquidity analytics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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