Price History
Opportunity Score
38- 11% below fair value+12 pts
- Reputable seller+8 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Strong demand (14 sales/mo)+4 pts
- Sales accelerating+1 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish62Murkrow is currently modestly undervalued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (+0.6%). Estimated fair value is $29 against a lowest active listing of $26. Valuation confidence is high based on 17-plus modeled comparable sales.
Bullish: flat 30-day price action with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
Grading ROI & Population Trend
Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.
No population data reported for this asset.
- Raw cost
- $25.97
- All-in cost
- $54.97+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
- Graded value (per gem)
- $104
- Expected proceeds
- $27.1130% gem → $31.16 · less 13% fee
- Net profit / card
- -$27.86
- Breakeven graded value
- $211value needed to break even
Adjust modeled assumptions
These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.
- Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
- Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
- Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
- Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
- Days to sell
- 2.4dmodeled median sale gap
- Sell-through
- 39.0%over 90d window
- Bid-ask spread
- +6.5%lowest ask vs sold avg
- Inventory depth
- 20active listings
- Recent sold avg
- $154mean over 90d
- Lowest ask
- $164cheapest active listing
Comp Explorer
- Min
- $128
- Median
- $147
- Mean
- $146
- Max
- $180
Showing 16 of 18 sales · 2 outliers trimmed
These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 29.55 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 29.91 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 26.63 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 0.53 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $164 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 82 | 61d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $169 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 95 | 75d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $172 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 71 | 67d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $173 | Mercari | Near Mint | 83 | 65d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $176 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 91 | 69d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $181 | PWCC | Near Mint | 72 | 56d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $185 | PWCC | Near Mint | 82 | 60d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $186 | Mercari | Near Mint | 64 | 68d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $187 | PWCC | Near Mint | 92 | 72d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $188 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 67 | 59d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $192 | PWCC | Near Mint | 87 | 73d ago | Jun 9 | View |
| $194 | eBay | Near Mint | 100 | 57d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $186 | eBay | Near Mint | 59d ago |
| $190 | PWCC | Near Mint | 63d ago |
| $180 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 63d ago |
| $151 | Mercari | Near Mint | 68d ago |
| $156 | eBay | Near Mint | 72d ago |
| $151 | eBay | Near Mint | 76d ago |
| $149 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 76d ago |
| $151 | eBay | Near Mint | 79d ago |
| $134 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 80d ago |
| $135 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 83d ago |
| $128 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 86d ago |
| $141 | PWCC | Near Mint | 86d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Fair value basis
- Simulated
- Lowest ask (deal)
- Simulated
- Active listings
- Simulated
- Card image
- Live
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Liquidity analytics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lugia (Neo Genesis)Neo GenesisPSA 9Live-anchoredReal askas of Jun 4 · 56d oldsold-comp center2nd source (tcgcsv): $511 · sales-derived, ungradedView $300 · TCGPlayer
| $1,597 | $1,056 | 33.9% | 7.1% | 1 | 63 |
 SteelixNeo GenesisSimulated
| $235 | $206 | 12.2% | 14.8% | 19 | 37 |
 QuilavaNeo GenesisPSA 9Simulated
| $295 | $253 | 14.3% | 1.0% | 20 | 46 |
 HeracrossNeo GenesisBGS 9.5Simulated
| $208 | $189 | 9.2% | 7.2% | 14 | 41 |
 SeadraNeo GenesisCGC 9Simulated
| $230 | $224 | 2.6% | 26.1% | 3 | 38 |
 FlaaffyNeo GenesisSimulated
| $147 | $139 | 5.5% | 32.5% | 21 | 36 |