Manectric
SimulatedManectric · EX Ruby & Sapphire · Rare Holo · 9
Character: Manectric
Price History
Opportunity Score
33- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- 6% below fair value+7 pts
- Reputable seller+7 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Strong demand (14 sales/mo)+4 pts
- Price up 7% over 30 days+3 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish77Manectric is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+7.4%). Estimated fair value is $78 against a lowest active listing of $73. Valuation confidence is high based on 20-plus modeled comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+7.4% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
Grading ROI & Population Trend
Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.
No population data reported for this asset.
- Raw cost
- $73.32
- All-in cost
- $102+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
- Graded value (per gem)
- $293
- Expected proceeds
- $76.5530% gem → $87.98 · less 13% fee
- Net profit / card
- -$25.77
- Breakeven graded value
- $392value needed to break even
Adjust modeled assumptions
These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.
- Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
- Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
- Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
- Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
- Days to sell
- 1.1dmodeled median sale gap
- Sell-through
- 67.0%over 90d window
- Bid-ask spread
- +3.8%lowest ask vs sold avg
- Inventory depth
- 7active listings
- Recent sold avg
- $67.24mean over 90d
- Lowest ask
- $69.77cheapest active listing
Comp Explorer
- Min
- $47.50
- Median
- $61.19
- Mean
- $61.11
- Max
- $81.02
Showing 24 of 25 sales · 1 outlier trimmed
These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 77.03 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 83.58 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 79.89 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | -2 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $69.77 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 68 | 58d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $70.92 | Mercari | Near Mint | 61 | 59d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $74.66 | PWCC | Near Mint | 60 | 74d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $75.90 | eBay | Near Mint | 64 | 70d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $75.94 | eBay | Near Mint | 75 | 71d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $81.56 | PWCC | Near Mint | 75 | 61d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $82.94 | PWCC | Near Mint | 75 | 62d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $89.15 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 61d ago |
| $81.02 | eBay | Near Mint | 62d ago |
| $70.87 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 71d ago |
| $67.91 | eBay | Near Mint | 71d ago |
| $72.55 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 79d ago |
| $64.87 | Mercari | Near Mint | 80d ago |
| $71.17 | PWCC | Near Mint | 80d ago |
| $66.49 | eBay | Near Mint | 81d ago |
| $67.98 | eBay | Near Mint | 82d ago |
| $64.81 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 83d ago |
| $59.75 | eBay | Near Mint | 86d ago |
| $58.67 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 87d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Fair value basis
- Simulated
- Lowest ask (deal)
- Simulated
- Active listings
- Simulated
- Card image
- Live
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Liquidity analytics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
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