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Mewtwo Secret Rare

Simulated

Mewtwo Secret Rare · Hidden Fates · Secret Rare · 20/163

Character: Mewtwo

high confidencebearish2130d 15.0%
Estimated Fair Value
$302
Lowest listing $27110.4% below
Bear Case
$253
Base Case
$302
Bull Case
$350

Price History

Dec 2Range $184$373May 30

Opportunity Score

31
  • 10% below fair value+12 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • High valuation confidence+5 pts
  • Strong demand (4 sales/mo)+1 pts

Investment Thesis

bearish21

Mewtwo Secret Rare is currently modestly undervalued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-15.0%). Estimated fair value is $302 against a lowest active listing of $271. Valuation confidence is high based on 21-plus recent comparable sales.

Bearish: softening prices (-15.0% over 30d) amid thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Risk Indicators

  • Negative price momentum over the last 30 days
Active Listings
21
Sales / Month
4.5
Velocity Score
23/100
Illiquid
Sales Velocity 30d
+0.8%
Confidence
72/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps298.4250%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices325.4625%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection285.0325%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)0.1720%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$311PWCCNear Mint884d agoJun 3View
$356Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint617d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$334eBayNear Mint2d ago
$302Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint5d ago
$268eBayNear Mint8d ago
$275MercariNear Mint9d ago
$238TCGPlayerNear Mint28d ago
$193MercariNear Mint41d ago
$207MercariNear Mint44d ago
$209PWCCNear Mint46d ago
$244Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint51d ago
$285Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint58d ago
$256TCGPlayerNear Mint59d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Same character or set.

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  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
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Pikachu V (Full Art)Hidden FatesSimulated
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Mewtwo Secret RareHidden FatesSimulated
  • Low active inventory+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
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Umbreon V (Full Art)Hidden FatesSimulated
  • Low active inventory+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
$398$3794.7%2.4%230
Mewtwo Ultra RareBase SetPSA 10Simulated
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
$1,959$1,8664.8%6.3%1836