Mewtwo Secret Rare
SimulatedMewtwo Secret Rare · Hidden Fates · Secret Rare · 20/163
Character: Mewtwo
Price History
Opportunity Score
31- 10% below fair value+12 pts
- Reputable seller+7 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- High valuation confidence+5 pts
- Strong demand (4 sales/mo)+1 pts
Investment Thesis
bearish21Mewtwo Secret Rare is currently modestly undervalued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-15.0%). Estimated fair value is $302 against a lowest active listing of $271. Valuation confidence is high based on 21-plus recent comparable sales.
Bearish: softening prices (-15.0% over 30d) amid thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
Risk Indicators
- Negative price momentum over the last 30 days
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 298.42 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 325.46 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 285.03 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 0.17 | 20% |
Active Listings
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $334 | eBay | Near Mint | 2d ago |
| $302 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 5d ago |
| $268 | eBay | Near Mint | 8d ago |
| $275 | Mercari | Near Mint | 9d ago |
| $238 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 28d ago |
| $193 | Mercari | Near Mint | 41d ago |
| $207 | Mercari | Near Mint | 44d ago |
| $209 | PWCC | Near Mint | 46d ago |
| $244 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 51d ago |
| $285 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 58d ago |
| $256 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 59d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charizard GX (Shiny)Hidden FatesPSA 10Simulated
| $897 | $770 | 14.2% | 9.2% | 10 | 52 |
Charizard Ultra RareHidden FatesSimulated
| $509 | $430 | 15.6% | 8.9% | 6 | 56 |
Pikachu V (Full Art)Hidden FatesSimulated
| $204 | $169 | 17.2% | 16.5% | 9 | 52 |
Mewtwo Secret RareHidden FatesSimulated
| $410 | $446 | -8.6% | 13.8% | 3 | 33 |
Umbreon V (Full Art)Hidden FatesSimulated
| $398 | $379 | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2 | 30 |
Mewtwo Ultra RareBase SetPSA 10Simulated
| $1,959 | $1,866 | 4.8% | 6.3% | 18 | 36 |