Price History
Opportunity Score
38- 12% below fair value+14 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- Reputable seller+6 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Price up 6% over 30 days+2 pts
- Strong demand (8 sales/mo)+2 pts
Investment Thesis
neutral61Tyranitar Ultra Rare (BGS 9) is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+5.7%). Estimated fair value is $638 against a lowest active listing of $560. Valuation confidence is high based on 13-plus recent comparable sales.
Neutral: rising prices (+5.7% over 30d) with thin liquidity and rising graded population (5.9%/mo).
Risk Indicators
- Rising graded population may pressure prices
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 631.48 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 654.65 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 707.24 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -2.97 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 0.2 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $471 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 80 | 18d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $482 | eBay | Graded | 78 | 13d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $487 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 93 | 6d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $495 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 62 | 13d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $496 | eBay | Graded | 74 | 10d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $498 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 89 | 21h ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $550 | Mercari | Graded | 79 | 7d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $553 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 70 | 20d ago | Jun 2 | View |
| $554 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 76 | 20d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $554 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 81 | 5d ago | Jun 3 | View |
| $566 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 91 | 4d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $573 | eBay | Graded | 89 | 21h ago | Jun 4 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $499 | Mercari | Graded | 9d ago |
| $540 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 15d ago |
| $630 | Mercari | Graded | 27d ago |
| $642 | eBay | Graded | 28d ago |
| $540 | Mercari | Graded | 32d ago |
| $598 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 42d ago |
| $668 | PWCC | Graded | 42d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charizard Ultra RareFossilSimulated
| $1,882 | $1,639 | 12.9% | 7.6% | 22 | 40 |
Charizard V (Full Art)FossilSimulated
| $1,406 | $1,173 | 16.6% | 0.8% | 23 | 48 |
Umbreon VMAX (Alt Art)FossilSimulated
| $1,660 | $1,486 | 10.5% | 2.5% | 20 | 44 |
Rayquaza Ultra RareFossilSimulated
| $1,094 | $1,030 | 5.9% | 21.0% | 18 | 37 |
Pikachu PromoFossilSimulated
| $857 | $788 | 8.1% | 5.3% | 9 | 36 |
Mew VMAX (Alt Art)FossilCGC 10Simulated
| $3,498 | $2,913 | 16.7% | 0.3% | 15 | 51 |