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Slowking — Prismatic Evolutions — Uncommon

Slowking

Simulated

Slowking · Prismatic Evolutions · Uncommon · 19

Character: Slowking

high confidencebullish9630d 50.0%
Estimated Fair Value
$114
Lowest listing $1057.4% below
Search live listings:eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
Bear Case
$88.08
Base Case
$114
Bull Case
$140

Price History

Dec 8Range $77.15 – $127Jun 5

Opportunity Score

41
  • 7% below fair value+9 pts
  • Price up 50% over 30 days+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+5 pts
  • Strong demand (15 sales/mo)+5 pts
  • Sales accelerating+2 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish96

Slowking is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+50.0%). Estimated fair value is $114 against a lowest active listing of $105. Valuation confidence is high based on 23-plus modeled comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+50.0% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
23
Sales / Month
15.0
Velocity Score
75/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+5.0%
Confidence
92/100

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.

Grading ROI (model)
-18.1%
Grading not economical
unknown population

No population data reported for this asset.

Raw cost
$105
All-in cost
$134+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
Graded value (per gem)
$421
Expected proceeds
$11030% gem → $126 · less 13% fee
Net profit / card
-$24.37
Breakeven graded value
$515value needed to break even

Adjust modeled assumptions

These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.

  • Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
  • Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
  • Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
  • Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Simulated
Days to sell
3.0dmodeled median sale gap
Sell-through
33.0%over 90d window
Bid-ask spread
-25.8%lowest ask vs sold avg
Inventory depth
10active listings
Recent sold avg
$92.26mean over 90d
Lowest ask
$68.49cheapest active listing

Comp Explorer

Min
$80.21
Median
$95.78
Mean
$94.67
Max
$107

Showing 6 of 6 sales

These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps10350%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices125.3525%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection118.7925%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)0.9920%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$68.49Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint7068d agoJun 8View
$76.21MercariNear Mint6072d agoJun 9View
$76.42PWCCNear Mint8568d agoJan 1View
$76.59Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint8165d agoJan 1View
$77.47MercariNear Mint7756d agoJan 1View
$79.18PWCCNear Mint6672d agoJan 1View
$80.41Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint8269d agoJan 1View
$81.96eBayNear Mint8566d agoJan 1View
$87.10eBayNear Mint8657d agoJun 9View
$90.07Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint8171d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$93.49eBayNear Mint60d ago
$80.21TCGPlayerNear Mint61d ago
$98.07PWCCNear Mint63d ago
$99.55Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint67d ago
$89.99TCGPlayerNear Mint71d ago
$107eBayNear Mint100d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Fair value basis
Simulated
Lowest ask (deal)
Simulated
Active listings
Simulated
Card image
Live
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Liquidity analytics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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