Price History
Opportunity Score
51- 17% below fair value+20 pts
- Sales accelerating+9 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Reputable seller+6 pts
- Strong demand (12 sales/mo)+4 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish62Gengar Promo is currently trading at a meaningful discount to fair value, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (+1.1%). Estimated fair value is $509 against a lowest active listing of $422. Valuation confidence is high based on 22-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: flat 30-day price action with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 491.58 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 476.59 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 488.08 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 4.53 | 20% |
Active Listings
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $641 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 5d ago |
| $619 | Mercari | Near Mint | 6d ago |
| $582 | PWCC | Near Mint | 7d ago |
| $617 | PWCC | Near Mint | 8d ago |
| $639 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 9d ago |
| $588 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 19d ago |
| $647 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 20d ago |
| $613 | PWCC | Near Mint | 25d ago |
| $636 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 25d ago |
| $616 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 26d ago |
| $623 | Mercari | Near Mint | 28d ago |
| $667 | Mercari | Near Mint | 36d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
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Same character or set.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Umbreon Secret RareJungleBGS 10Simulated
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Rayquaza V (Full Art)JungleSimulated
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Gengar V (Full Art)XY EvolutionsSimulated
| $367 | $356 | 3.0% | 6.3% | 13 | 38 |
Gengar Secret RareHeartGold SoulSilverBGS 9Simulated
| $771 | $693 | 10.2% | 6.5% | 10 | 46 |
Gengar ex (Special Illustration)Hidden FatesSimulated
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