Lugia VMAX (Alt Art)
SimulatedLugia VMAX (Alt Art) · Evolving Skies · Alt Art · 184/237
Character: Lugia
Price History
Opportunity Score
51- 14% below fair value+16 pts
- Sales accelerating+11 pts
- Reputable seller+8 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- High valuation confidence+5 pts
- Price up 9% over 30 days+4 pts
- Strong demand (4 sales/mo)+1 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish73Lugia VMAX (Alt Art) is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+8.9%). Estimated fair value is $441 against a lowest active listing of $380. Valuation confidence is medium based on 10-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+8.9% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 398.04 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 443.24 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 433.02 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 5.56 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $335 | PWCC | Near Mint | 78 | 7d ago | Jun 1 | View |
| $344 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 92 | 10d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $349 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 91 | 21d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $358 | eBay | Near Mint | 64 | 5d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $371 | eBay | Near Mint | 76 | 9d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $375 | eBay | Near Mint | 71 | 14d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $379 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 93 | 16d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $380 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 83 | 3d ago | May 31 | View |
| $388 | eBay | Near Mint | 99 | 8d ago | Jun 3 | View |
| $394 | eBay | Near Mint | 95 | 2d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $395 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 98 | 14d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $398 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 72 | 4d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $352 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 1d ago |
| $362 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 3d ago |
| $431 | PWCC | Near Mint | 12d ago |
| $387 | eBay | Near Mint | 13d ago |
| $379 | eBay | Near Mint | 16d ago |
| $390 | PWCC | Near Mint | 16d ago |
| $398 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 16d ago |
| $371 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 16d ago |
| $411 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 19d ago |
| $408 | eBay | Near Mint | 21d ago |
| $424 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 21d ago |
| $407 | Mercari | Near Mint | 29d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charizard Holo RareEvolving SkiesSimulated
| $240 | $211 | 11.9% | 5.1% | 21 | 41 |
Charizard ex (Illustration Rare)Evolving SkiesBGS 9.5Simulated
| $581 | $561 | 3.3% | 11.3% | 5 | 42 |
MoonbreonEvolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
| $1,595 | $1,490 | 6.5% | 4.6% | 15 | 37 |
Umbreon Holo RareEvolving SkiesBGS 9Simulated
| $306 | $311 | -1.6% | 0.8% | 5 | 29 |
Rayquaza VMAX (Alt Art)Evolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
| $740 | $612 | 17.4% | 11.8% | 11 | 66 |
Umbreon Secret RareEvolving SkiesCGC 9Simulated
| $692 | $634 | 8.4% | 8.2% | 4 | 45 |