PokéAlpha
Back to dashboard

Mewtwo Secret Rare

Simulated

Mewtwo Secret Rare · Hidden Fates · Secret Rare · 89/163

Character: Mewtwo

high confidencebullish9030d 32.6%
Estimated Fair Value
$349
Lowest listing $3305.5% below
Bear Case
$296
Base Case
$349
Bull Case
$405

Price History

Dec 2Range $257$397May 30

Opportunity Score

40
  • Price up 33% over 30 days+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • 6% below fair value+6 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • Low active inventory+4 pts
  • Strong demand (6 sales/mo)+2 pts
  • Sales accelerating+1 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish90

Mewtwo Secret Rare is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+32.6%). Estimated fair value is $349 against a lowest active listing of $330. Valuation confidence is high based on 6-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+32.6% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
6
Sales / Month
6.5
Velocity Score
33/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
+3.4%
Confidence
80/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps329.1550%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices382.7625%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection346.4825%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)0.6720%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$266Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint8512d agoJan 1View
$271eBayNear Mint10020d agoJan 1View
$282MercariNear Mint696d agoJan 1View
$301MercariNear Mint7011d agoJan 1View
$318Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint9516d agoJan 1View
$325TCGPlayerNear Mint858d agoJan 1View
$329PWCCNear Mint774d agoJan 1View
$332MercariNear Mint9418d agoJan 1View
$335eBayNear Mint9117d agoJan 1View
$343TCGPlayerNear Mint687d agoJan 1View
$344TCGPlayerNear Mint782d agoMay 31View
$349MercariNear Mint9013d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$282TCGPlayerNear Mint1d ago
$301PWCCNear Mint2d ago
$289MercariNear Mint2d ago
$292MercariNear Mint4d ago
$287eBayNear Mint4d ago
$243MercariNear Mint4d ago
$237eBayNear Mint5d ago
$267eBayNear Mint6d ago
$327Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint7d ago
$306MercariNear Mint10d ago
$307eBayNear Mint13d ago
$333MercariNear Mint14d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Same character or set.

AssetFair ValueLowestDiscount30dAvailScore
Charizard GX (Shiny)Hidden FatesPSA 10Simulated
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (19 sales/mo)+6 pts
$763$782-2.5%2.9%826
Charizard Ultra RareHidden FatesSimulated
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
$461$4453.5%14.3%1232
Pikachu V (Full Art)Hidden FatesSimulated
  • 11% below fair value+13 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
$223$19811.4%2.2%738
Umbreon V (Full Art)Hidden FatesSimulated
  • 12% below fair value+14 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$382$33811.6%3.3%1939
Mewtwo Ultra RareBase SetPSA 10Simulated
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • Price up 16% over 30 days+6 pts
$1,798$1,943-8.1%16.1%733
Mewtwo V (Full Art)EX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
  • 18% below fair value+21 pts
  • Sales accelerating+10 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
$475$38818.2%9.3%1550