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Pinsir — Evolving Skies — Rare

Pinsir

Simulated

Pinsir · Evolving Skies · Rare · 1

Character: Pinsir

high confidencebullish6530d 0.5%
Estimated Fair Value
$49.95
Lowest listing $47.055.8% below
Search live listings:eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
Bear Case
$42.85
Base Case
$49.95
Bull Case
$56.85

Price History

Dec 8Range $56.59 – $90.34Jun 5

Opportunity Score

34
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • 6% below fair value+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (18 sales/mo)+5 pts
  • Sales accelerating+1 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish65

Pinsir is currently modestly undervalued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (+0.5%). Estimated fair value is $50 against a lowest active listing of $47. Valuation confidence is high based on 17-plus modeled comparable sales.

Bullish: flat 30-day price action with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
17
Sales / Month
18.0
Velocity Score
90/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+3.2%
Confidence
97/100

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.

Grading ROI (model)
-35.4%
Grading not economical
unknown population

No population data reported for this asset.

Raw cost
$47.05
All-in cost
$76.05+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
Graded value (per gem)
$188
Expected proceeds
$49.1230% gem → $56.46 · less 13% fee
Net profit / card
-$26.93
Breakeven graded value
$291value needed to break even

Adjust modeled assumptions

These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.

  • Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
  • Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
  • Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
  • Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Simulated
Days to sell
1.3dmodeled median sale gap
Sell-through
90.0%over 90d window
Bid-ask spread
+10.7%lowest ask vs sold avg
Inventory depth
2active listings
Recent sold avg
$78.19mean over 90d
Lowest ask
$86.57cheapest active listing

Comp Explorer

Min
$62.19
Median
$72.97
Mean
$74.34
Max
$92.28

Showing 32 of 32 sales

These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps48.6550%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices54.3725%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection46.8625%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)0.6320%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$86.57PWCCNear Mint7964d agoJan 1View
$94.47PWCCNear Mint7372d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$80.54Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint55d ago
$83.75Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint56d ago
$76.26eBayNear Mint56d ago
$88.35Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint57d ago
$90.13eBayNear Mint62d ago
$92.28eBayNear Mint65d ago
$82.29PWCCNear Mint70d ago
$79.01Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint75d ago
$72.99eBayNear Mint75d ago
$77.64PWCCNear Mint75d ago
$66.09PWCCNear Mint78d ago
$69.51eBayNear Mint82d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Fair value basis
Simulated
Lowest ask (deal)
Simulated
Active listings
Simulated
Card image
Live
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Liquidity analytics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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