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Gengar VMAX (Alt Art)

BGS 9.5Simulated

Gengar VMAX (Alt Art) · Scarlet & Violet 151 · Alt Art · 95/207

Character: Gengar

high confidenceneutral6130d 4.7%
Estimated Fair Value
$531
Lowest listing $552
Bear Case
$460
Base Case
$531
Bull Case
$600

Price History

Dec 2Range $406$745May 30

Opportunity Score

29
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • Low active inventory+5 pts
  • Strong demand (12 sales/mo)+4 pts
  • Price up 5% over 30 days+2 pts

Investment Thesis

neutral61

Gengar VMAX (Alt Art) (BGS 9.5) is currently fairly valued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (+4.7%). Estimated fair value is $531 against a lowest active listing of $552. Valuation confidence is high based on 5-plus recent comparable sales.

Neutral: flat 30-day price action with healthy trading velocity and rising graded population (6.1%/mo).

Risk Indicators

  • Rising graded population may pressure prices
Active Listings
5
Sales / Month
11.5
Velocity Score
57/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
-2.2%
Total Graded
2,957
Gem Mint
1,632
Population Growth
+6.1%
Rising — supply pressure

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps541.750%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices592.925%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection524.6325%
population pressureAdjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value)-3.0650%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)-0.4420%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$706MercariGraded806d agoJun 1View
$736eBayGraded856d agoJan 1View
$772Facebook MarketplaceGraded9418d agoJan 1View
$793PWCCGraded9321d agoJun 4View
$797Facebook MarketplaceGraded986d agoJan 1View
$849TCGPlayerGraded8519d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$706TCGPlayerGraded8h ago
$792PWCCGraded5d ago
$788eBayGraded6d ago
$714Facebook MarketplaceGraded6d ago
$732MercariGraded9d ago
$677PWCCGraded9d ago
$720TCGPlayerGraded9d ago
$634Facebook MarketplaceGraded15d ago
$536eBayGraded19d ago
$520MercariGraded21d ago
$575TCGPlayerGraded23d ago
$672eBayGraded26d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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