PokéAlpha
DashboardAlpha ScannerBacktestAI AnalystHunt ListsAlertsPortfolioAlpha Feed

Market intelligence for Pokémon collectors & investors.

PokéAlpha
Back to dashboard
Espeon ex (Special Illustration) card artwork

Espeon ex (Special Illustration)

Simulated

Espeon ex (Special Illustration) · Fossil · Special Illustration Rare · 48/62

Character: Espeon

high confidenceneutral6030d ▼0.2%
Estimated Fair Value
$911
Lowest listing $8219.9% below
Bear Case
$777
Base Case
$911
Bull Case
$1,045

Price History

Dec 2Range $710 – $1.1KMay 30

Opportunity Score

37
  • 10% below fair value+12 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • Strong demand (14 sales/mo)+4 pts
  • Low active inventory+3 pts

Investment Thesis

neutral60

Espeon ex (Special Illustration) is currently modestly undervalued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (-0.2%). Estimated fair value is $911 against a lowest active listing of $821. Valuation confidence is high based on 7-plus recent comparable sales.

Neutral: flat 30-day price action with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
7
Sales / Month
13.5
Velocity Score
68/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
-10.1%
Confidence
91/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps923.0350%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices965.5425%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection908.6725%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)-2.0220%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$723PWCCNear Mint753d agoJun 3View
$841MercariNear Mint653d agoJun 1View
$858TCGPlayerNear Mint9315d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$791PWCCNear Mint5d ago
$840MercariNear Mint8d ago
$829eBayNear Mint16d ago
$763TCGPlayerNear Mint18d ago
$797Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint20d ago
$810Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint21d ago
$786TCGPlayerNear Mint22d ago
$715TCGPlayerNear Mint31d ago
$789eBayNear Mint32d ago
$738Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint33d ago
$743eBayNear Mint42d ago
$797PWCCNear Mint45d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Related Assets

Same character or set.

AssetFair ValueLowestDiscount30dAvailScore
Charizard Ultra RareFossilSimulated
  • 13% below fair value+15 pts
  • Sales accelerating+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
$1,882$1,63912.9%▼7.6%2240
Charizard V (Full Art)FossilSimulated
  • 17% below fair value+19 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
$1,406$1,17316.6%▼0.8%2348
Umbreon VMAX (Alt Art)FossilSimulated
  • 11% below fair value+12 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$1,660$1,48610.5%▼2.5%2044
Rayquaza Ultra RareFossilSimulated
  • Price up 21% over 30 days+8 pts
  • 6% below fair value+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$1,094$1,0305.9%▲21.0%1837
Pikachu PromoFossilSimulated
  • 8% below fair value+9 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
$857$7888.1%▲5.3%936
Mew VMAX (Alt Art)FossilCGC 10Simulated
  • 17% below fair value+20 pts
  • Sales accelerating+8 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
$3,498$2,91316.7%▼0.3%1551