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Exeggcute — Prismatic Evolutions — Common

Exeggcute

Simulated

Exeggcute · Prismatic Evolutions · Common · 1

Character: Exeggcute

high confidencebullish8330d ▲12.6%
Estimated Fair Value
$27.14
Lowest listing $24.0911.2% below
Search live listings:eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
Bear Case
$22.98
Base Case
$27.14
Bull Case
$31.55

Price History

Dec 8Range $48.23 – $76.69Jun 5

Opportunity Score

40
  • 11% below fair value+13 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • Price up 13% over 30 days+5 pts
  • Sales accelerating+3 pts
  • Strong demand (6 sales/mo)+2 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish83

Exeggcute is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+12.6%). Estimated fair value is $27 against a lowest active listing of $24. Valuation confidence is high based on 20-plus modeled comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+12.6% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
20
Sales / Month
6.5
Velocity Score
33/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
+6.2%
Confidence
88/100

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.

Grading ROI (model)
-52.6%
Grading not economical
unknown population

No population data reported for this asset.

Raw cost
$24.09
All-in cost
$53.09+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
Graded value (per gem)
$96.36
Expected proceeds
$25.1530% gem → $28.91 · less 13% fee
Net profit / card
-$27.94
Breakeven graded value
$203value needed to break even

Adjust modeled assumptions

These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.

  • Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
  • Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
  • Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
  • Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Simulated
Days to sell
3.3dmodeled median sale gap
Sell-through
26.0%over 90d window
Bid-ask spread
+16.8%lowest ask vs sold avg
Inventory depth
20active listings
Recent sold avg
$52.64mean over 90d
Lowest ask
$61.49cheapest active listing

Comp Explorer

Min
$46.45
Median
$55.20
Mean
$55.01
Max
$62.93

Showing 11 of 11 sales

These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps24.3950%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices28.0125%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection30.4625%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)1.2320%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$61.49TCGPlayerNear Mint8772d agoJan 1View
$63.64PWCCNear Mint6569d agoJan 1View
$63.69eBayNear Mint9675d agoJan 1View
$64.01PWCCNear Mint9974d agoJan 1View
$65.05TCGPlayerNear Mint9257d agoJan 1View
$65.15Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint6275d agoJan 1View
$65.30Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint7269d agoJan 1View
$66.28Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint8858d agoJan 1View
$66.32MercariNear Mint6565d agoJun 9View
$67.81TCGPlayerNear Mint8673d agoJan 1View
$69.09Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint6965d agoJan 1View
$70.29PWCCNear Mint10059d agoJun 8View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$54.17TCGPlayerNear Mint69d ago
$59.58PWCCNear Mint71d ago
$55.20eBayNear Mint78d ago
$51.82Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint81d ago
$46.45MercariNear Mint84d ago
$50.62MercariNear Mint88d ago
$50.61eBayNear Mint88d ago
$55.55TCGPlayerNear Mint92d ago
$55.64MercariNear Mint97d ago
$62.57PWCCNear Mint98d ago
$62.93PWCCNear Mint98d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Fair value basis
Simulated
Lowest ask (deal)
Simulated
Active listings
Simulated
Card image
Live
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Liquidity analytics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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