PokéAlpha
DashboardAlpha ScannerBacktestAI AnalystHunt ListsAlertsPortfolioAlpha Feed

Market intelligence for Pokémon collectors & investors.

PokéAlpha
Back to dashboard
Venusaur V (Full Art) card artwork

Venusaur V (Full Art)

Simulated

Venusaur V (Full Art) · XY Evolutions · Full Art · 18/108

Character: Venusaur

high confidencebullish7630d ▲9.8%
Estimated Fair Value
$236
Lowest listing $2226.2% below
Bear Case
$200
Base Case
$236
Bull Case
$273

Price History

Dec 2Range $125 – $192May 30

Opportunity Score

31
  • 6% below fair value+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • Price up 10% over 30 days+4 pts
  • Strong demand (6 sales/mo)+2 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish76

Venusaur V (Full Art) is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+9.8%). Estimated fair value is $236 against a lowest active listing of $222. Valuation confidence is high based on 23-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+9.8% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
23
Sales / Month
6.5
Velocity Score
33/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
+0.3%
Confidence
88/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps216.9950%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices261.2425%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection248.8925%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)0.0520%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$139MercariNear Mint728d agoJan 1View
$143Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint866d agoJun 3View
$145MercariNear Mint8314d agoJan 1View
$154PWCCNear Mint952d agoJan 1View
$157PWCCNear Mint995d agoMay 31View
$159PWCCNear Mint7218d agoJan 1View
$161TCGPlayerNear Mint712d agoJan 1View
$164PWCCNear Mint8510d agoJan 1View
$169Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint602d agoJan 1View
$171MercariNear Mint6810d agoJan 1View
$171PWCCNear Mint8718d agoJan 1View
$173eBayNear Mint9218d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$165MercariNear Mint7d ago
$158MercariNear Mint7d ago
$173TCGPlayerNear Mint10d ago
$169PWCCNear Mint15d ago
$157MercariNear Mint16d ago
$171Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint16d ago
$173eBayNear Mint16d ago
$160Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint19d ago
$168Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint24d ago
$185TCGPlayerNear Mint24d ago
$165eBayNear Mint25d ago
$158PWCCNear Mint33d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Related Assets

Same character or set.

AssetFair ValueLowestDiscount30dAvailScore
Charizard ex (Illustration Rare)XY EvolutionsSimulated
  • 19% below fair value+22 pts
  • Sales accelerating+11 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
$722$58618.9%▼2.5%660
Umbreon Holo RareXY EvolutionsSimulated
  • 12% below fair value+14 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
$243$21511.6%▼10.6%642
Umbreon VMAX (Alt Art)XY EvolutionsBGS 9Simulated
  • Price up 22% over 30 days+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • Low active inventory+7 pts
$1,005$9852.0%▲21.7%342
Charizard VMAX (Alt Art)XY EvolutionsSimulated
  • 10% below fair value+11 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$1,054$9529.7%▼5.6%2337
Charizard ex (Special Illustration)XY EvolutionsSimulated
  • 9% below fair value+11 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
$604$5479.5%▲0.8%1436
Pikachu VMAX (Alt Art)XY EvolutionsPSA 9.5Simulated
  • 7% below fair value+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
$1,241$1,1606.5%▲11.7%2236