Skiploom
SimulatedSkiploom · HeartGold SoulSilver · Uncommon · 51
Character: Skiploom
Price History
Opportunity Score
35- 13% below fair value+15 pts
- Reputable seller+8 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- High valuation confidence+5 pts
- Strong demand (4 sales/mo)+1 pts
Investment Thesis
bearish27Skiploom is currently modestly undervalued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-12.0%). Estimated fair value is $110 against a lowest active listing of $95. Valuation confidence is high based on 9-plus modeled comparable sales.
Bearish: softening prices (-12.0% over 30d) amid thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
Risk Indicators
- Negative price momentum over the last 30 days
Grading ROI & Population Trend
Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.
No population data reported for this asset.
- Raw cost
- $95.32
- All-in cost
- $124+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
- Graded value (per gem)
- $381
- Expected proceeds
- $99.5130% gem → $114 · less 13% fee
- Net profit / card
- -$24.81
- Breakeven graded value
- $476value needed to break even
Adjust modeled assumptions
These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.
- Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
- Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
- Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
- Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
- Days to sell
- 1.4dmodeled median sale gap
- Sell-through
- 86.0%over 90d window
- Bid-ask spread
- +0.2%lowest ask vs sold avg
- Inventory depth
- 2active listings
- Recent sold avg
- $92.45mean over 90d
- Lowest ask
- $92.67cheapest active listing
Comp Explorer
- Min
- $88.91
- Median
- $91.03
- Mean
- $92.17
- Max
- $97.28
Showing 14 of 14 sales
These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 112.58 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 109.83 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 104.85 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | -0.19 | 20% |
Active Listings
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $96.75 | PWCC | Near Mint | 57d ago |
| $96.84 | Mercari | Near Mint | 66d ago |
| $90.85 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 67d ago |
| $89.47 | eBay | Near Mint | 69d ago |
| $89.80 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 69d ago |
| $88.91 | Mercari | Near Mint | 70d ago |
| $95.39 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 79d ago |
| $93.71 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 80d ago |
| $90.03 | eBay | Near Mint | 80d ago |
| $91.21 | eBay | Near Mint | 85d ago |
| $97.28 | Mercari | Near Mint | 87d ago |
| $89.15 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 89d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Fair value basis
- Simulated
- Lowest ask (deal)
- Simulated
- Active listings
- Simulated
- Card image
- Live
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Liquidity analytics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 HeracrossHeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
| $175 | $143 | 18.2% | 3.1% | 5 | 50 |
 LaprasHeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
| $177 | $160 | 10.0% | 1.9% | 12 | 29 |
 AzumarillHeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
| $103 | $98.54 | 4.6% | 3.1% | 14 | 28 |
 ChanseyHeartGold SoulSilverPSA 10Simulated
| $263 | $229 | 13.1% | 3.3% | 8 | 46 |
 FlaaffyHeartGold SoulSilverBGS 9Simulated
| $178 | $153 | 14.0% | 12.9% | 19 | 41 |
 ClefairyHeartGold SoulSilverPSA 9Simulated
| $128 | $113 | 11.9% | 12.8% | 20 | 51 |