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Slowking — Prismatic Evolutions — Uncommon

Slowking

Simulated

Slowking · Prismatic Evolutions · Uncommon · 19

Character: Slowking

high confidencebullish9530d ▲26.8%
Estimated Fair Value
$31.85
Lowest listing $31.820.1% below
Search live listings:eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
Bear Case
$27.46
Base Case
$31.85
Bull Case
$36.51

Price History

Dec 8Range $33.79 – $57.25Jun 5

Opportunity Score

43
  • Price up 27% over 30 days+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • Low active inventory+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • Sales accelerating+4 pts
  • Strong demand (14 sales/mo)+4 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish95

Slowking is currently fairly valued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+26.8%). Estimated fair value is $32 against a lowest active listing of $32. Valuation confidence is high based on 3-plus modeled comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+26.8% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Risk Indicators

  • Thin liquidity — few active listings, wider spreads likely
Active Listings
3
Sales / Month
13.5
Velocity Score
68/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+10.8%
Confidence
83/100

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.

Grading ROI (model)
-45.4%
Grading not economical
unknown population

No population data reported for this asset.

Raw cost
$31.82
All-in cost
$60.82+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
Graded value (per gem)
$127
Expected proceeds
$33.2230% gem → $38.18 · less 13% fee
Net profit / card
-$27.60
Breakeven graded value
$233value needed to break even

Adjust modeled assumptions

These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.

  • Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
  • Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
  • Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
  • Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Simulated
Days to sell
2.7dmodeled median sale gap
Sell-through
61.0%over 90d window
Bid-ask spread
+12.0%lowest ask vs sold avg
Inventory depth
9active listings
Recent sold avg
$42.81mean over 90d
Lowest ask
$47.95cheapest active listing

Comp Explorer

Min
$36.22
Median
$46.79
Mean
$46.68
Max
$56.18

Showing 32 of 32 sales

These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps28.5550%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices35.3325%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection32.3125%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)2.1520%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$47.95eBayNear Mint7556d agoJan 1View
$50.26eBayNear Mint6068d agoJan 1View
$51.91eBayNear Mint8564d agoJan 1View
$52.89Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint9855d agoJan 1View
$54.17eBayNear Mint6856d agoJan 1View
$54.68eBayNear Mint7463d agoJan 1View
$57.73eBayNear Mint7256d agoJun 10View
$57.89Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint7666d agoJan 1View
$58.32Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint7873d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$48.73TCGPlayerNear Mint57d ago
$54.02TCGPlayerNear Mint58d ago
$53.17eBayNear Mint59d ago
$44.56TCGPlayerNear Mint62d ago
$46.65eBayNear Mint65d ago
$40.45PWCCNear Mint67d ago
$43.13MercariNear Mint72d ago
$41.90Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint73d ago
$42.09PWCCNear Mint76d ago
$36.57eBayNear Mint79d ago
$36.59TCGPlayerNear Mint82d ago
$38.18eBayNear Mint83d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Fair value basis
Simulated
Lowest ask (deal)
Simulated
Active listings
Simulated
Card image
Live
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Liquidity analytics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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