
Ampharos · Evolving Skies · Rare · 56
Character: Ampharos
Ampharos (PSA 9) is currently trading at a meaningful discount to fair value, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+10.7%). Estimated fair value is $31 against a lowest active listing of $25. Valuation confidence is high based on 16-plus modeled comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+10.7% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.
Population growth slowing to -0.2%/mo — supply tightening across 935 graded.
935 graded · 27% gem · -0.2%/mo
These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.
How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.
Showing 10 of 10 sales
These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 27.95 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 30.95 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 29.53 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | 0.48 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 5.12 | 20% |
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $71.66 | PWCC | Graded | 82 | 71d ago | Jun 9 | View |
| $71.80 | eBay | Graded | 73 | 70d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $72.18 | Mercari | Graded | 67 | 57d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $72.80 | Mercari | Graded | 64 | 66d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $72.92 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 99 | 69d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $74.82 | PWCC | Graded | 65 | 55d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $77.01 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 74 | 74d ago | Jun 8 | View |
| $78.50 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 61 | 74d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $78.58 | PWCC | Graded | 64 | 55d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $78.78 | Mercari | Graded | 68 | 68d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $79.63 | eBay | Graded | 82 | 58d ago | Jun 8 | View |
| $80.32 | PWCC | Graded | 99 | 66d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $81.23 | Mercari | Graded | 58d ago |
| $88.07 | PWCC | Graded | 67d ago |
| $96.58 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 68d ago |
| $92.55 | eBay | Graded | 71d ago |
| $91.24 | Mercari | Graded | 73d ago |
| $79.56 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 80d ago |
| $71.98 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 83d ago |
| $108 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 96d ago |
| $103 | eBay | Graded | 108d ago |
| $101 | Mercari | Graded | 110d ago |
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() MoonbreonEvolving SkiesPSA 10Live-anchoredReal askas of Jun 4 · 56d oldsold-comp center2nd source (tcgcsv): $2,261 · sales-derived, ungradedBuy $1,820 · TCGPlayer
| $1,998 | $1,820 | 8.9% | 3.3% | 1 | 43 |
![]() Rayquaza VMAX (Alt Art)Evolving SkiesPSA 10Live-anchoredReal askas of Jun 4 · 56d oldsold-comp center2nd source (tcgcsv): $983 · sales-derived, ungradedView $850 · TCGPlayer
| $1,994 | $1,861 | 6.6% | 7.6% | 1 | 36 |
Evolving Skies Booster BoxEvolving SkiesSimulated
| $11,781 | $11,141 | 5.4% | 23.1% | 17 | 39 |
![]() Sylveon VMAX (Alt Art)Evolving SkiesPSA 10Live-anchoredReal askas of Jun 4 · 56d oldsold-comp center2nd source (tcgcsv): $384 · sales-derived, ungradedView $450 · TCGPlayer
| $733 | $774 | -5.6% | 26.5% | 1 | 46 |
![]() RaichuEvolving SkiesSimulated
| $90.88 | $79.73 | 12.3% | 15.9% | 13 | 50 |
![]() LilligantEvolving SkiesSimulated
| $74.74 | $67.24 | 10.0% | 18.6% | 18 | 42 |