Farfetch'd
CGC 10SimulatedFarfetch'd · HeartGold SoulSilver · Rare · 19
Character: Farfetch'd
Price History
Opportunity Score
51- 7% below fair value+8 pts
- Reputable seller+7 pts
- Population growth slowing+7 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Price up 15% over 30 days+6 pts
- Sales accelerating+6 pts
- Strong demand (11 sales/mo)+3 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish90Farfetch'd (CGC 10) is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+14.8%). Estimated fair value is $178 against a lowest active listing of $166. Valuation confidence is high based on 11-plus modeled comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+14.8% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
Grading ROI & Population Trend
Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.
Population growing 4.7%/mo — steady supply across 1630 graded.
1,630 graded · 48% gem · +4.7%/mo
- Raw cost
- $166
- All-in cost
- $195+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
- Graded value (per gem)
- $178
- Expected proceeds
- $46.4430% gem → $53.39 · less 13% fee
- Net profit / card
- -$148.06
- Breakeven graded value
- $745value needed to break even
Adjust modeled assumptions
These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.
- Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of CGC 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
- Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
- Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
- Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
- Days to sell
- 1.1dmodeled median sale gap
- Sell-through
- 57.0%over 90d window
- Bid-ask spread
- -26.3%lowest ask vs sold avg
- Inventory depth
- 17active listings
- Recent sold avg
- $195mean over 90d
- Lowest ask
- $143cheapest active listing
Comp Explorer
- Min
- $162
- Median
- $191
- Mean
- $191
- Max
- $236
Showing 38 of 38 sales
These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 169.79 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 178.34 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 175.44 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -0.22 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 2.89 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $143 | Mercari | Graded | 76 | 75d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $144 | eBay | Graded | 66 | 55d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $149 | PWCC | Graded | 100 | 61d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $156 | PWCC | Graded | 88 | 72d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $157 | PWCC | Graded | 81 | 74d ago | Jun 7 | View |
| $162 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 83 | 68d ago | Jun 6 | View |
| $164 | eBay | Graded | 91 | 57d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $167 | eBay | Graded | 82 | 68d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $167 | PWCC | Graded | 91 | 59d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $168 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 100 | 68d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $170 | eBay | Graded | 86 | 65d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $172 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 69 | 67d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $165 | Mercari | Graded | 57d ago |
| $162 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 58d ago |
| $184 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 58d ago |
| $167 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 58d ago |
| $169 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 59d ago |
| $176 | PWCC | Graded | 60d ago |
| $183 | Mercari | Graded | 63d ago |
| $192 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 67d ago |
| $167 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 69d ago |
| $194 | eBay | Graded | 71d ago |
| $192 | Mercari | Graded | 72d ago |
| $192 | eBay | Graded | 73d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Fair value basis
- Simulated
- Lowest ask (deal)
- Simulated
- Active listings
- Simulated
- Card image
- Live
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Liquidity analytics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 HeracrossHeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
| $174 | $145 | 16.9% | 2.0% | 7 | 49 |
 LaprasHeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
| $189 | $157 | 16.8% | 2.2% | 13 | 48 |
 AzumarillHeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
| $105 | $95.86 | 8.4% | 4.2% | 10 | 42 |
 ChanseyHeartGold SoulSilverPSA 10Simulated
| $267 | $217 | 18.7% | 6.9% | 20 | 53 |
 FlaaffyHeartGold SoulSilverBGS 9Simulated
| $178 | $152 | 14.6% | 10.8% | 18 | 45 |
 ClefairyHeartGold SoulSilverPSA 9Simulated
| $130 | $117 | 10.1% | 13.1% | 4 | 55 |