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Gengar Holo Rare

BGS 10Simulated

Gengar Holo Rare · Base Set · Holo Rare · 57/102

Character: Gengar

high confidencebullish8830d 14.2%
Estimated Fair Value
$598
Lowest listing $51414.1% below
Bear Case
$503
Base Case
$598
Bull Case
$693

Price History

Dec 2Range $611 – $987May 30

Opportunity Score

53
  • 14% below fair value+17 pts
  • Population growth slowing+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • Price up 14% over 30 days+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+5 pts
  • Strong demand (10 sales/mo)+3 pts
  • Sales accelerating+2 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish88

Gengar Holo Rare (BGS 10) is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+14.2%). Estimated fair value is $598 against a lowest active listing of $514. Valuation confidence is high based on 20-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+14.2% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
20
Sales / Month
9.5
Velocity Score
48/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
+3.9%
Total Graded
6,343
Gem Mint
2,588
Population Growth
-0.3%
Stable supply

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps590.3650%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices598.1925%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection591.6925%
population pressureAdjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value)0.1350%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)0.7820%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$588MercariGraded8019d agoJan 1View
$596MercariGraded6715d agoJan 1View
$607eBayGraded626d agoJun 1View
$626TCGPlayerGraded6321d agoJan 1View
$665eBayGraded6921d agoJan 1View
$690PWCCGraded7523h agoJan 1View
$711Facebook MarketplaceGraded807d agoJan 1View
$727TCGPlayerGraded7015d agoJan 1View
$735MercariGraded934d agoJun 2View
$753TCGPlayerGraded993d agoMay 31View
$772MercariGraded8110d agoJan 1View
$781MercariGraded8023h agoJun 3View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$642PWCCGraded13h ago
$633TCGPlayerGraded3d ago
$708TCGPlayerGraded4d ago
$764TCGPlayerGraded5d ago
$784PWCCGraded5d ago
$753eBayGraded6d ago
$777MercariGraded9d ago
$767MercariGraded10d ago
$816Facebook MarketplaceGraded12d ago
$833TCGPlayerGraded12d ago
$776MercariGraded13d ago
$894Facebook MarketplaceGraded14d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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