Gyarados VMAX (Alt Art)
SimulatedGyarados VMAX (Alt Art) · Evolving Skies · Alt Art · 57/237
Character: Gyarados
Price History
Opportunity Score
38- 9% below fair value+11 pts
- Low active inventory+7 pts
- Reputable seller+7 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- High valuation confidence+6 pts
- Strong demand (8 sales/mo)+2 pts
Investment Thesis
bearish21Gyarados VMAX (Alt Art) is currently modestly undervalued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-16.3%). Estimated fair value is $134 against a lowest active listing of $122. Valuation confidence is high based on 3-plus recent comparable sales.
Bearish: softening prices (-16.3% over 30d) amid thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
Risk Indicators
- Thin liquidity — few active listings, wider spreads likely
- Negative price momentum over the last 30 days
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 139.99 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 124.2 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 141.39 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | -1.51 | 20% |
Active Listings
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $180 | PWCC | Near Mint | 2d ago |
| $191 | eBay | Near Mint | 3d ago |
| $156 | Mercari | Near Mint | 6d ago |
| $158 | eBay | Near Mint | 6d ago |
| $137 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 7d ago |
| $147 | eBay | Near Mint | 9d ago |
| $179 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 13d ago |
| $167 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 13d ago |
| $154 | eBay | Near Mint | 15d ago |
| $168 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 17d ago |
| $165 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 19d ago |
| $180 | eBay | Near Mint | 20d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
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