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Nidorino — Base Set — Uncommon

Nidorino

Simulated

Nidorino · Base Set · Uncommon · 37

Character: Nidorino

high confidencebullish9330d ▲34.1%
Estimated Fair Value
$129
Lowest listing $1179.7% below
Search live listings:eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
Bear Case
$110
Base Case
$129
Bull Case
$150

Price History

Dec 8Range $155 – $339Jun 5

Opportunity Score

46
  • 10% below fair value+11 pts
  • Price up 34% over 30 days+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Low active inventory+4 pts
  • Strong demand (10 sales/mo)+3 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish93

Nidorino is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+34.1%). Estimated fair value is $129 against a lowest active listing of $117. Valuation confidence is high based on 6-plus modeled comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+34.1% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
6
Sales / Month
10.0
Velocity Score
50/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
-1.3%
Confidence
89/100

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.

Grading ROI (model)
-16.4%
Grading not economical
unknown population

No population data reported for this asset.

Raw cost
$117
All-in cost
$146+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
Graded value (per gem)
$467
Expected proceeds
$12230% gem → $140 · less 13% fee
Net profit / card
-$23.86
Breakeven graded value
$559value needed to break even

Adjust modeled assumptions

These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.

  • Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
  • Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
  • Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
  • Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Simulated
Days to sell
2.0dmodeled median sale gap
Sell-through
71.0%over 90d window
Bid-ask spread
-5.6%lowest ask vs sold avg
Inventory depth
7active listings
Recent sold avg
$218mean over 90d
Lowest ask
$205cheapest active listing

Comp Explorer

Min
$181
Median
$228
Mean
$235
Max
$302

Showing 27 of 27 sales

These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps121.1750%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices143.7725%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection132.6625%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)-0.2620%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$205eBayNear Mint6362d agoJan 1View
$208Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint9873d agoJan 1View
$223MercariNear Mint9056d agoJan 1View
$229PWCCNear Mint9974d agoJan 1View
$238MercariNear Mint7063d agoJun 8View
$246TCGPlayerNear Mint7267d agoJan 1View
$257PWCCNear Mint6968d agoJun 9View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$228eBayNear Mint55d ago
$214TCGPlayerNear Mint57d ago
$219TCGPlayerNear Mint59d ago
$235PWCCNear Mint59d ago
$234PWCCNear Mint61d ago
$250Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint62d ago
$217MercariNear Mint66d ago
$181Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint68d ago
$201eBayNear Mint72d ago
$219eBayNear Mint72d ago
$200PWCCNear Mint72d ago
$208eBayNear Mint75d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Fair value basis
Simulated
Lowest ask (deal)
Simulated
Active listings
Simulated
Card image
Live
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Liquidity analytics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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