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Tyranitar ex (Illustration Rare)

BGS 9Simulated

Tyranitar ex (Illustration Rare) · Base Set · Illustration Rare · 78/102

Character: Tyranitar

high confidencebullish8530d 15.4%
Estimated Fair Value
$451
Lowest listing $4343.9% below
Bear Case
$389
Base Case
$451
Bull Case
$513

Price History

Dec 2Range $410$634May 30

Opportunity Score

50
  • Sales accelerating+11 pts
  • Low active inventory+8 pts
  • Price up 15% over 30 days+6 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+5 pts
  • 4% below fair value+5 pts
  • Strong demand (10 sales/mo)+3 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish85

Tyranitar ex (Illustration Rare) (BGS 9) is currently fairly valued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+15.4%). Estimated fair value is $451 against a lowest active listing of $434. Valuation confidence is high based on 2-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+15.4% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and rising graded population (5.6%/mo).

Risk Indicators

  • Rising graded population may pressure prices
  • Thin liquidity — few active listings, wider spreads likely
Active Listings
2
Sales / Month
10.5
Velocity Score
53/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
+27.7%
Total Graded
3,881
Gem Mint
1,228
Population Growth
+5.6%
Rising — supply pressure

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps422.7950%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices485.9625%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection427.1325%
population pressureAdjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value)-2.7950%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)5.5320%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$413PWCCGraded739d agoJun 1View
$440eBayGraded719d agoJan 1View
$440PWCCGraded6815d agoJan 1View
$496TCGPlayerGraded9017d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$602TCGPlayerGraded15d ago
$537eBayGraded31d ago
$516MercariGraded39d ago
$554TCGPlayerGraded43d ago
$475TCGPlayerGraded56d ago
$489eBayGraded57d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Same character or set.

AssetFair ValueLowestDiscount30dAvailScore
Base ZardBase SetPSA 10Simulated
  • Sales accelerating+9 pts
  • Price up 35% over 30 days+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$9,504$9,4540.5%34.7%2343
Rayquaza ex (Illustration Rare)Base SetSimulated
  • 11% below fair value+12 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
$928$83010.6%8.8%2141
Base Set Booster Box (Sealed)Base SetSimulated
  • 14% below fair value+17 pts
  • Sales accelerating+10 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$47,109$40,44614.1%11.9%2353
Umbreon ex (Special Illustration)Base SetSimulated
  • 23% below fair value+27 pts
  • Sales accelerating+10 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
$2,134$1,63923.2%24.9%2357
Pikachu Ultra RareBase SetBGS 9Simulated
  • Price up 45% over 30 days+8 pts
  • Low active inventory+7 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
$1,255$1,378-9.9%45.3%337
Mewtwo Ultra RareBase SetPSA 10Simulated
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
$1,959$1,8664.8%6.3%1836