Delcatty
PSA 9SimulatedDelcatty · EX Ruby & Sapphire · Uncommon · 29
Character: Delcatty
Price History
Opportunity Score
48- Sales accelerating+8 pts
- Population growth slowing+8 pts
- 6% below fair value+7 pts
- Reputable seller+6 pts
- Low active inventory+6 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- High valuation confidence+5 pts
- Strong demand (6 sales/mo)+2 pts
Investment Thesis
neutral43Delcatty (PSA 9) is currently modestly undervalued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-5.4%). Estimated fair value is $37 against a lowest active listing of $35. Valuation confidence is high based on 4-plus modeled comparable sales.
Neutral: softening prices (-5.4% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
Grading ROI & Population Trend
Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.
Population growing 5.5%/mo — supply expanding quickly across 2743 graded.
2,743 graded · 54% gem · +5.5%/mo
- Raw cost
- $34.90
- All-in cost
- $63.90+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
- Graded value (per gem)
- $36.98
- Expected proceeds
- $9.6530% gem → $11.09 · less 13% fee
- Net profit / card
- -$54.25
- Breakeven graded value
- $245value needed to break even
Adjust modeled assumptions
These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.
- Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 9 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
- Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
- Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
- Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
- Days to sell
- 5.5dmodeled median sale gap
- Sell-through
- 22.0%over 90d window
- Bid-ask spread
- -26.7%lowest ask vs sold avg
- Inventory depth
- 14active listings
- Recent sold avg
- $141mean over 90d
- Lowest ask
- $104cheapest active listing
Comp Explorer
- Min
- $121
- Median
- $154
- Mean
- $150
- Max
- $182
Showing 6 of 6 sales
These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 34.91 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 36.81 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 35.21 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | 0.1 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 4.19 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $104 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 82 | 67d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $110 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 64 | 56d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $113 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 63 | 73d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $113 | PWCC | Graded | 84 | 60d ago | Jun 7 | View |
| $114 | eBay | Graded | 85 | 73d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $116 | PWCC | Graded | 76 | 57d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $121 | eBay | Graded | 64 | 66d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $124 | eBay | Graded | 79 | 72d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $129 | eBay | Graded | 60 | 59d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $129 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 93 | 73d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $129 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 94 | 59d ago | Jun 7 | View |
| $132 | eBay | Graded | 82 | 73d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $123 | Mercari | Graded | 60d ago |
| $121 | eBay | Graded | 65d ago |
| $167 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 77d ago |
| $155 | Mercari | Graded | 77d ago |
| $182 | Mercari | Graded | 95d ago |
| $153 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 100d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Fair value basis
- Simulated
- Lowest ask (deal)
- Simulated
- Active listings
- Simulated
- Card image
- Live
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Liquidity analytics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
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