Price History
Opportunity Score
50- Sales accelerating+11 pts
- Low active inventory+8 pts
- Price up 15% over 30 days+6 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- High valuation confidence+6 pts
- Reputable seller+5 pts
- 4% below fair value+5 pts
- Strong demand (10 sales/mo)+3 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish85Tyranitar ex (Illustration Rare) (BGS 9) is currently fairly valued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+15.4%). Estimated fair value is $451 against a lowest active listing of $434. Valuation confidence is high based on 2-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+15.4% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and rising graded population (5.6%/mo).
Risk Indicators
- Rising graded population may pressure prices
- Thin liquidity — few active listings, wider spreads likely
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 422.79 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 485.96 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 427.13 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -2.79 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 5.53 | 20% |
Active Listings
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $602 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 15d ago |
| $537 | eBay | Graded | 31d ago |
| $516 | Mercari | Graded | 39d ago |
| $554 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 43d ago |
| $475 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 56d ago |
| $489 | eBay | Graded | 57d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Base ZardBase SetPSA 10Simulated
| $9,504 | $9,454 | 0.5% | 34.7% | 23 | 43 |
Rayquaza ex (Illustration Rare)Base SetSimulated
| $928 | $830 | 10.6% | 8.8% | 21 | 41 |
Base Set Booster Box (Sealed)Base SetSimulated
| $47,109 | $40,446 | 14.1% | 11.9% | 23 | 53 |
Umbreon ex (Special Illustration)Base SetSimulated
| $2,134 | $1,639 | 23.2% | 24.9% | 23 | 57 |
Pikachu Ultra RareBase SetBGS 9Simulated
| $1,255 | $1,378 | -9.9% | 45.3% | 3 | 37 |
Mewtwo Ultra RareBase SetPSA 10Simulated
| $1,959 | $1,866 | 4.8% | 6.3% | 18 | 36 |