Lugia V (Full Art)
BGS 10SimulatedLugia V (Full Art) · Evolving Skies · Full Art · 24/237
Character: Lugia
Price History
Opportunity Score
44- 9% below fair value+11 pts
- Price up 17% over 30 days+7 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- Reputable seller+7 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Sales accelerating+4 pts
- Strong demand (10 sales/mo)+3 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish85Lugia V (Full Art) (BGS 10) is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+17.2%). Estimated fair value is $451 against a lowest active listing of $410. Valuation confidence is high based on 17-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+17.2% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and rising graded population (6.6%/mo).
Risk Indicators
- Rising graded population may pressure prices
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 442.43 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 458.92 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 482.25 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -3.3 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 2.1 | 20% |
Active Listings
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $464 | Mercari | Graded | 13h ago |
| $447 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 4d ago |
| $473 | PWCC | Graded | 6d ago |
| $514 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 10d ago |
| $521 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 11d ago |
| $495 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 11d ago |
| $491 | eBay | Graded | 12d ago |
| $565 | eBay | Graded | 13d ago |
| $518 | eBay | Graded | 15d ago |
| $467 | Mercari | Graded | 16d ago |
| $546 | Mercari | Graded | 18d ago |
| $497 | PWCC | Graded | 18d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
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