Koffing
SimulatedKoffing · XY Evolutions · Uncommon · 50
Character: Koffing
Price History
Opportunity Score
49- 12% below fair value+14 pts
- Reputable seller+8 pts
- Price up 19% over 30 days+7 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Strong demand (17 sales/mo)+5 pts
- Sales accelerating+1 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish98Koffing is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+18.5%). Estimated fair value is $40 against a lowest active listing of $35. Valuation confidence is high based on 23-plus modeled comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+18.5% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
Grading ROI & Population Trend
Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.
No population data reported for this asset.
- Raw cost
- $35.12
- All-in cost
- $64.12+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
- Graded value (per gem)
- $140
- Expected proceeds
- $36.6730% gem → $42.14 · less 13% fee
- Net profit / card
- -$27.45
- Breakeven graded value
- $246value needed to break even
Adjust modeled assumptions
These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.
- Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
- Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
- Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
- Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
Not enough recent sales to model liquidity for this asset. At least three in-window sales are needed for a reliable read.
Comp Explorer
- Min
- $98.48
- Median
- $99.35
- Mean
- $99.32
- Max
- $100
Showing 4 of 6 sales · 2 outliers trimmed
These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 38.03 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 41.6 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 41.04 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 0.63 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $78.33 | eBay | Near Mint | 70 | 65d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $81.97 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 63 | 56d ago | Jun 10 | View |
| $82.45 | eBay | Near Mint | 62 | 66d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $83.65 | Mercari | Near Mint | 65 | 55d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $87.92 | Mercari | Near Mint | 77 | 55d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $87.94 | Mercari | Near Mint | 74 | 60d ago | Jun 9 | View |
| $89.61 | eBay | Near Mint | 63 | 75d ago | Jun 8 | View |
| $90.11 | PWCC | Near Mint | 73 | 65d ago | Jun 7 | View |
| $91.70 | Mercari | Near Mint | 94 | 70d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $92.28 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 65 | 59d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $93.31 | PWCC | Near Mint | 94 | 62d ago | Jun 7 | View |
| $95.03 | PWCC | Near Mint | 94 | 65d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $98.48 | eBay | Near Mint | 86d ago |
| $98.81 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 90d ago |
| $106 | PWCC | Near Mint | 93d ago |
| $100 | PWCC | Near Mint | 96d ago |
| $99.89 | PWCC | Near Mint | 98d ago |
| $96.32 | Mercari | Near Mint | 111d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Fair value basis
- Simulated
- Lowest ask (deal)
- Simulated
- Active listings
- Simulated
- Card image
- Live
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Liquidity analytics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
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