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Pikachu ex (Special Illustration)

Simulated

Pikachu ex (Special Illustration) · HeartGold SoulSilver · Special Illustration Rare · 122/123

Character: Pikachu

high confidencebullish9930d 31.8%
Estimated Fair Value
$794
Lowest listing $71310.2% below
Bear Case
$660
Base Case
$794
Bull Case
$937

Price History

Dec 2Range $551$829May 30

Opportunity Score

44
  • 10% below fair value+12 pts
  • Price up 32% over 30 days+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • Strong demand (18 sales/mo)+5 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish99

Pikachu ex (Special Illustration) is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+31.8%). Estimated fair value is $794 against a lowest active listing of $713. Valuation confidence is high based on 19-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+31.8% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
19
Sales / Month
18.0
Velocity Score
90/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+1.5%
Confidence
95/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps741.8350%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices837.4925%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection843.2325%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)0.3120%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$627TCGPlayerNear Mint8717d agoMay 31View
$681MercariNear Mint954d agoJan 1View
$696PWCCNear Mint8520d agoJan 1View
$717MercariNear Mint812d agoJun 3View
$741MercariNear Mint642d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$627eBayNear Mint2d ago
$655TCGPlayerNear Mint2d ago
$590PWCCNear Mint3d ago
$638MercariNear Mint5d ago
$584Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint14d ago
$659MercariNear Mint18d ago
$665MercariNear Mint24d ago
$641eBayNear Mint24d ago
$722MercariNear Mint26d ago
$683TCGPlayerNear Mint26d ago
$740MercariNear Mint30d ago
$735TCGPlayerNear Mint30d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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