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Rotom V — Crown Zenith — Rare Holo V

Rotom V

CGC 10Simulated

Rotom V · Crown Zenith · Rare Holo V · 45

Character: Rotom

high confidencebullish7730d 10.7%
Estimated Fair Value
$23.01
Lowest listing $21.556.4% below
Search live listings:eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
Bear Case
$19.80
Base Case
$23.01
Bull Case
$26.34

Price History

Dec 8Range $93.46 – $154Jun 5

Opportunity Score

34
  • 6% below fair value+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+5 pts
  • Strong demand (14 sales/mo)+4 pts
  • Price up 11% over 30 days+4 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish77

Rotom V (CGC 10) is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+10.7%). Estimated fair value is $23 against a lowest active listing of $22. Valuation confidence is high based on 17-plus modeled comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+10.7% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and rising graded population (6.6%/mo).

Risk Indicators

  • Rising graded population may pressure prices
Active Listings
17
Sales / Month
14.5
Velocity Score
73/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
-9.8%
Total Graded
5,942
Gem Mint
2,668
Population Growth
+6.6%
Rising — supply pressure

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.

Grading ROI (model)
-88.1%
Grading not economical
accelerating population

Population growing 6.2%/mo — supply expanding quickly across 3690 graded.

3,690 graded · 54% gem · +6.2%/mo

Raw cost
$21.55
All-in cost
$50.55+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
Graded value (per gem)
$23.01
Expected proceeds
$6.0130% gem → $6.90 · less 13% fee
Net profit / card
-$44.54
Breakeven graded value
$194value needed to break even

Adjust modeled assumptions

These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.

  • Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of CGC 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
  • Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
  • Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
  • Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Simulated
Days to sell
1.3dmodeled median sale gap
Sell-through
71.0%over 90d window
Bid-ask spread
-17.8%lowest ask vs sold avg
Inventory depth
9active listings
Recent sold avg
$114mean over 90d
Lowest ask
$93.70cheapest active listing

Comp Explorer

Min
$102
Median
$118
Mean
$117
Max
$140

Showing 35 of 35 sales

These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps23.2450%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices25.5225%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection25.0925%
population pressureAdjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value)-3.2950%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)-1.9620%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$93.70TCGPlayerGraded9759d agoJan 1View
$95.98Facebook MarketplaceGraded7164d agoJan 1View
$97.04Facebook MarketplaceGraded9470d agoJan 1View
$97.50PWCCGraded7364d agoJan 1View
$98.05MercariGraded7363d agoJan 1View
$104eBayGraded7263d agoJan 1View
$105eBayGraded7571d agoJun 9View
$110TCGPlayerGraded9168d agoJan 1View
$115PWCCGraded8274d agoJun 6View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$105PWCCGraded56d ago
$111MercariGraded58d ago
$120PWCCGraded59d ago
$107PWCCGraded59d ago
$118eBayGraded61d ago
$107MercariGraded61d ago
$117MercariGraded62d ago
$119TCGPlayerGraded63d ago
$108MercariGraded64d ago
$118PWCCGraded64d ago
$119Facebook MarketplaceGraded64d ago
$125MercariGraded67d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Fair value basis
Simulated
Lowest ask (deal)
Simulated
Active listings
Simulated
Card image
Live
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Liquidity analytics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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