Price History
Opportunity Score
51- 16% below fair value+19 pts
- Reputable seller+7 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Strong demand (19 sales/mo)+6 pts
- Sales accelerating+4 pts
- Price up 5% over 30 days+2 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish76Rayquaza ex (Illustration Rare) is currently trading at a meaningful discount to fair value, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+5.2%). Estimated fair value is $893 against a lowest active listing of $747. Valuation confidence is high based on 21-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+5.2% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 867.82 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 876.27 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 888.79 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 2.08 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $636 | Mercari | Near Mint | 76 | 5d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $639 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 92 | 4d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $659 | Mercari | Near Mint | 73 | 18d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $667 | PWCC | Near Mint | 69 | 10d ago | Jun 2 | View |
| $680 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 79 | 4d ago | Jun 4 | View |
| $689 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 89 | 14d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $715 | PWCC | Near Mint | 79 | 18d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $720 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 95 | 21d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $733 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 85 | 10d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $756 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 61 | 18d ago | Jun 4 | View |
| $760 | PWCC | Near Mint | 62 | 5d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $770 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 95 | 10d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $733 | eBay | Near Mint | 2d ago |
| $714 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 9d ago |
| $671 | eBay | Near Mint | 12d ago |
| $729 | PWCC | Near Mint | 17d ago |
| $736 | Mercari | Near Mint | 19d ago |
| $737 | Mercari | Near Mint | 23d ago |
| $781 | PWCC | Near Mint | 24d ago |
| $691 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 28d ago |
| $664 | Mercari | Near Mint | 32d ago |
| $735 | PWCC | Near Mint | 32d ago |
| $727 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 38d ago |
| $776 | eBay | Near Mint | 39d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Base ZardBase SetPSA 10Simulated
| $7,841 | $6,828 | 12.9% | 10.3% | 19 | 57 |
Base Set Booster Box (Sealed)Base SetSimulated
| $40,424 | $35,698 | 11.7% | 14.3% | 9 | 40 |
Umbreon ex (Special Illustration)Base SetSimulated
| $2,681 | $2,270 | 15.3% | 20.6% | 14 | 38 |
Rayquaza VMAX (Alt Art)Evolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
| $632 | $544 | 14.0% | 15.4% | 11 | 36 |
Rayquaza Ultra RarePrismatic EvolutionsBGS 9Simulated
| $428 | $396 | 7.7% | 8.5% | 20 | 47 |
Pikachu Ultra RareBase SetBGS 9Simulated
| $909 | $817 | 10.2% | 4.3% | 10 | 33 |