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Rayquaza ex (Illustration Rare)

Simulated

Rayquaza ex (Illustration Rare) · Base Set · Illustration Rare · 73/102

Character: Rayquaza

high confidencebullish7630d 5.2%
Estimated Fair Value
$893
Lowest listing $74716.3% below
Bear Case
$762
Base Case
$893
Bull Case
$1,026

Price History

Dec 2Range $612$870May 30

Opportunity Score

51
  • 16% below fair value+19 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (19 sales/mo)+6 pts
  • Sales accelerating+4 pts
  • Price up 5% over 30 days+2 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish76

Rayquaza ex (Illustration Rare) is currently trading at a meaningful discount to fair value, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+5.2%). Estimated fair value is $893 against a lowest active listing of $747. Valuation confidence is high based on 21-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+5.2% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
21
Sales / Month
19.0
Velocity Score
95/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+10.4%
Confidence
97/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps867.8250%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices876.2725%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection888.7925%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)2.0820%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$636MercariNear Mint765d agoJan 1View
$639Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint924d agoJan 1View
$659MercariNear Mint7318d agoJan 1View
$667PWCCNear Mint6910d agoJun 2View
$680Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint794d agoJun 4View
$689TCGPlayerNear Mint8914d agoJan 1View
$715PWCCNear Mint7918d agoJan 1View
$720Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint9521d agoJan 1View
$733TCGPlayerNear Mint8510d agoJan 1View
$756Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint6118d agoJun 4View
$760PWCCNear Mint625d agoJan 1View
$770TCGPlayerNear Mint9510d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$733eBayNear Mint2d ago
$714TCGPlayerNear Mint9d ago
$671eBayNear Mint12d ago
$729PWCCNear Mint17d ago
$736MercariNear Mint19d ago
$737MercariNear Mint23d ago
$781PWCCNear Mint24d ago
$691Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint28d ago
$664MercariNear Mint32d ago
$735PWCCNear Mint32d ago
$727TCGPlayerNear Mint38d ago
$776eBayNear Mint39d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Same character or set.

AssetFair ValueLowestDiscount30dAvailScore
Base ZardBase SetPSA 10Simulated
  • 13% below fair value+15 pts
  • Sales accelerating+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
$7,841$6,82812.9%10.3%1957
Base Set Booster Box (Sealed)Base SetSimulated
  • 12% below fair value+14 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
$40,424$35,69811.7%14.3%940
Umbreon ex (Special Illustration)Base SetSimulated
  • 15% below fair value+18 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
$2,681$2,27015.3%20.6%1438
Rayquaza VMAX (Alt Art)Evolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
  • 14% below fair value+16 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
$632$54414.0%15.4%1136
Rayquaza Ultra RarePrismatic EvolutionsBGS 9Simulated
  • 8% below fair value+9 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • Sales accelerating+6 pts
$428$3967.7%8.5%2047
Pikachu Ultra RareBase SetBGS 9Simulated
  • 10% below fair value+12 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
$909$81710.2%4.3%1033