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Mew Holo Rare card artwork

Mew Holo Rare

Simulated

Mew Holo Rare · XY Evolutions · Holo Rare · 23/108

Character: Mew

high confidencebullish9730d ▲30.5%
Estimated Fair Value
$232
Lowest listing $20610.9% below
Bear Case
$200
Base Case
$232
Bull Case
$263

Price History

Dec 2Range $161 – $304May 30

Opportunity Score

43
  • 11% below fair value+13 pts
  • Price up 30% over 30 days+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+5 pts
  • Strong demand (16 sales/mo)+5 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish97

Mew Holo Rare is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+30.5%). Estimated fair value is $232 against a lowest active listing of $206. Valuation confidence is high based on 10-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+30.5% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
10
Sales / Month
16.0
Velocity Score
80/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+0.2%
Confidence
98/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps226.5550%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices242.5225%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection230.5825%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)0.0420%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$221TCGPlayerNear Mint6416d agoJan 1View
$235Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint965d agoJan 1View
$243TCGPlayerNear Mint693d agoJan 1View
$264eBayNear Mint8623h agoJan 1View
$265MercariNear Mint6210d agoJan 1View
$270Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint8717d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$213MercariNear Mint6h ago
$213TCGPlayerNear Mint9h ago
$222PWCCNear Mint4d ago
$206PWCCNear Mint13d ago
$202PWCCNear Mint16d ago
$191eBayNear Mint17d ago
$195eBayNear Mint17d ago
$213Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint18d ago
$200eBayNear Mint18d ago
$171TCGPlayerNear Mint21d ago
$167TCGPlayerNear Mint25d ago
$166eBayNear Mint26d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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  • Reputable seller+8 pts
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  • Population growth slowing+7 pts
  • Low active inventory+7 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
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