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Pikachu ex (Special Illustration)

Simulated

Pikachu ex (Special Illustration) · Scarlet & Violet 151 · Special Illustration Rare · 28/207

Character: Pikachu

high confidencebullish8330d 8.7%
Estimated Fair Value
$437
Lowest listing $39010.7% below
Bear Case
$375
Base Case
$437
Bull Case
$498

Price History

Dec 2Range $272 – $432May 30

Opportunity Score

43
  • 11% below fair value+12 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (18 sales/mo)+5 pts
  • Price up 9% over 30 days+4 pts
  • Sales accelerating+1 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish83

Pikachu ex (Special Illustration) is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+8.7%). Estimated fair value is $436 against a lowest active listing of $390. Valuation confidence is high based on 12-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+8.7% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
12
Sales / Month
18.0
Velocity Score
90/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+3.5%
Confidence
97/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps431.1650%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices445.5225%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection426.1125%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)0.6920%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$358MercariNear Mint963d agoJan 1View
$373TCGPlayerNear Mint924d agoJan 1View
$378TCGPlayerNear Mint9918d agoJan 1View
$387PWCCNear Mint814d agoJan 1View
$389PWCCNear Mint705d agoJan 1View
$391TCGPlayerNear Mint9414d agoJan 1View
$392MercariNear Mint6812d agoJan 1View
$423TCGPlayerNear Mint997d agoJun 2View
$423PWCCNear Mint773d agoJan 1View
$424MercariNear Mint653d agoJan 1View
$431MercariNear Mint765d agoJan 1View
$432eBayNear Mint786d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$377eBayNear Mint2d ago
$419PWCCNear Mint3d ago
$391eBayNear Mint6d ago
$404MercariNear Mint7d ago
$405Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint16d ago
$411PWCCNear Mint19d ago
$419PWCCNear Mint20d ago
$398MercariNear Mint21d ago
$416eBayNear Mint23d ago
$407eBayNear Mint23d ago
$405PWCCNear Mint25d ago
$371eBayNear Mint26d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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