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Dec 2Range $499 – $825May 30
Estimated Fair Value
$767
Lowest listing $66313.6% below
Bear Case
$656
Base Case
$767
Bull Case
$876
Price History
Opportunity Score
46- 14% below fair value+16 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- Reputable seller+6 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Population growth slowing+6 pts
- Strong demand (14 sales/mo)+4 pts
- Sales accelerating+1 pts
Investment Thesis
neutral55Blastoise Promo (CGC 10) is currently modestly undervalued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (-1.8%). Estimated fair value is $767 against a lowest active listing of $663. Valuation confidence is high based on 23-plus recent comparable sales.
Neutral: flat 30-day price action with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
Active Listings
23
Sales / Month
14.0
Velocity Score
70/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+3.2%
Total Graded
1,179
Gem Mint
552
Population Growth
+1.4%
Slowing
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 779.72 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 769.4 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 741.6 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -0.68 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 0.63 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $633 | PWCC | Graded | 98 | 13d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $640 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 74 | 8d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $648 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 76 | 4d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $654 | PWCC | Graded | 62 | 23h ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $655 | eBay | Graded | 83 | 9d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $667 | Mercari | Graded | 72 | 21d ago | Jun 3 | View |
| $714 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 77 | 13d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $719 | eBay | Graded | 89 | 7d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $719 | Mercari | Graded | 85 | 8d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $738 | eBay | Graded | 96 | 9d ago | Jun 1 | View |
| $743 | PWCC | Graded | 87 | 7d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $763 | eBay | Graded | 84 | 12d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $699 | Mercari | Graded | 2d ago |
| $630 | eBay | Graded | 2d ago |
| $701 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 7d ago |
| $733 | eBay | Graded | 10d ago |
| $637 | PWCC | Graded | 12d ago |
| $698 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 15d ago |
| $754 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 17d ago |
| $798 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 18d ago |
| $736 | Mercari | Graded | 19d ago |
| $761 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 20d ago |
| $703 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 23d ago |
| $774 | PWCC | Graded | 28d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
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