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Nidoran ♀ — Scarlet & Violet 151 — Common

Nidoran ♀

Simulated

Nidoran ♀ · Scarlet & Violet 151 · Common · 29

Character: Nidoran

high confidenceneutral6030d ▼1.7%
Estimated Fair Value
$89.01
Lowest listing $84.624.9% below
Search live listings:eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
Bear Case
$75.71
Base Case
$89.01
Bull Case
$102

Price History

Dec 8Range $50.81 – $85.01Jun 5

Opportunity Score

32
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • 5% below fair value+6 pts
  • Strong demand (18 sales/mo)+5 pts
  • Reputable seller+5 pts
  • Low active inventory+3 pts

Investment Thesis

neutral60

Nidoran ♀ is currently fairly valued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (-1.7%). Estimated fair value is $89 against a lowest active listing of $85. Valuation confidence is high based on 7-plus modeled comparable sales.

Neutral: flat 30-day price action with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
7
Sales / Month
18.0
Velocity Score
90/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
-7.8%
Confidence
91/100

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.

Grading ROI (model)
-22.3%
Grading not economical
unknown population

No population data reported for this asset.

Raw cost
$84.62
All-in cost
$114+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
Graded value (per gem)
$338
Expected proceeds
$88.3430% gem → $102 · less 13% fee
Net profit / card
-$25.28
Breakeven graded value
$435value needed to break even

Adjust modeled assumptions

These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.

  • Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
  • Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
  • Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
  • Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Simulated
Days to sell
2.0dmodeled median sale gap
Sell-through
33.0%over 90d window
Bid-ask spread
-21.8%lowest ask vs sold avg
Inventory depth
16active listings
Recent sold avg
$64.51mean over 90d
Lowest ask
$50.43cheapest active listing

Comp Explorer

Min
$55.68
Median
$68.35
Mean
$68.40
Max
$79.89

Showing 12 of 12 sales

These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps90.2950%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices92.7725%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection88.3125%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)-1.5620%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$50.43eBayNear Mint8658d agoJan 1View
$53.56PWCCNear Mint9059d agoJan 1View
$53.74PWCCNear Mint7866d agoJan 1View
$53.82eBayNear Mint8665d agoJan 1View
$53.82MercariNear Mint6757d agoJan 1View
$55.01PWCCNear Mint7369d agoJun 8View
$56.33Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint9764d agoJun 6View
$57.35TCGPlayerNear Mint9458d agoJan 1View
$57.54eBayNear Mint7063d agoJan 1View
$57.68PWCCNear Mint7069d agoJan 1View
$58.27PWCCNear Mint7672d agoJun 9View
$62.15eBayNear Mint7166d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$57.56PWCCNear Mint56d ago
$55.68eBayNear Mint57d ago
$64.89MercariNear Mint65d ago
$69.02eBayNear Mint69d ago
$67.68eBayNear Mint70d ago
$65.30TCGPlayerNear Mint70d ago
$69.31PWCCNear Mint72d ago
$66.67Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint75d ago
$79.56Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint102d ago
$73.30MercariNear Mint105d ago
$71.91MercariNear Mint110d ago
$79.89eBayNear Mint113d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Fair value basis
Simulated
Lowest ask (deal)
Simulated
Active listings
Simulated
Card image
Live
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Liquidity analytics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Related Assets

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AssetFair ValueLowestDiscount30dAvailScore
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