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Zeraora VSTAR — Crown Zenith — Rare Holo VSTAR

Zeraora VSTAR

Simulated

Zeraora VSTAR · Crown Zenith · Rare Holo VSTAR · 55

Character: Zeraora

high confidencebullish7130d 3.4%
Estimated Fair Value
$34.39
Lowest listing $30.2112.2% below
Search live listings:eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
Bear Case
$29.28
Base Case
$34.39
Bull Case
$39.46

Price History

Dec 8Range $46.05 – $95.11Jun 5

Opportunity Score

47
  • 12% below fair value+14 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (18 sales/mo)+6 pts
  • Sales accelerating+6 pts
  • Price up 3% over 30 days+1 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish71

Zeraora VSTAR is currently modestly undervalued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (+3.4%). Estimated fair value is $34 against a lowest active listing of $30. Valuation confidence is high based on 19-plus modeled comparable sales.

Bullish: flat 30-day price action with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
19
Sales / Month
18.5
Velocity Score
93/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+13.7%
Confidence
97/100

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.

Grading ROI (model)
-46.7%
Grading not economical
unknown population

No population data reported for this asset.

Raw cost
$30.21
All-in cost
$59.21+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
Graded value (per gem)
$121
Expected proceeds
$31.5430% gem → $36.25 · less 13% fee
Net profit / card
-$27.67
Breakeven graded value
$227value needed to break even

Adjust modeled assumptions

These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.

  • Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
  • Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
  • Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
  • Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Simulated
Days to sell
9.1dmodeled median sale gap
Sell-through
25.0%over 90d window
Bid-ask spread
-8.5%lowest ask vs sold avg
Inventory depth
12active listings
Recent sold avg
$49.33mean over 90d
Lowest ask
$45.14cheapest active listing

Comp Explorer

Min
$45.89
Median
$55.38
Mean
$53.51
Max
$58.79

Showing 11 of 11 sales

These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps33.1950%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices34.5525%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection32.9725%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)2.7420%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$45.14PWCCNear Mint8856d agoJan 1View
$46.20eBayNear Mint9362d agoJan 1View
$48.39PWCCNear Mint8666d agoJun 8View
$48.68eBayNear Mint8868d agoJan 1View
$49.14eBayNear Mint9457d agoJan 1View
$49.39MercariNear Mint7856d agoJan 1View
$49.97TCGPlayerNear Mint9157d agoJan 1View
$50.04MercariNear Mint6761d agoJan 1View
$50.79TCGPlayerNear Mint6166d agoJan 1View
$51.81MercariNear Mint6170d agoJan 1View
$52.21eBayNear Mint8257d agoJan 1View
$52.91Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint8466d agoJun 10View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$48.87eBayNear Mint62d ago
$45.89PWCCNear Mint74d ago
$46.09TCGPlayerNear Mint74d ago
$56.48eBayNear Mint83d ago
$58.79PWCCNear Mint95d ago
$53.30PWCCNear Mint95d ago
$53.20eBayNear Mint98d ago
$56.95eBayNear Mint99d ago
$55.38PWCCNear Mint102d ago
$55.98Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint111d ago
$57.66PWCCNear Mint114d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Fair value basis
Simulated
Lowest ask (deal)
Simulated
Active listings
Simulated
Card image
Live
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Liquidity analytics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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