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Exeggutor — Crown Zenith — Rare

Exeggutor

Simulated

Exeggutor · Crown Zenith · Rare · 58

Character: Exeggutor

high confidencebullish7330d 4.8%
Estimated Fair Value
$28.73
Lowest listing $25.0312.9% below
Search live listings:eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
Bear Case
$24.11
Base Case
$28.73
Bull Case
$33.31

Price History

Dec 8Range $46.52 – $84.05Jun 5

Opportunity Score

50
  • 13% below fair value+15 pts
  • Sales accelerating+11 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+5 pts
  • Strong demand (16 sales/mo)+5 pts
  • Price up 5% over 30 days+2 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish73

Exeggutor is currently modestly undervalued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (+4.8%). Estimated fair value is $29 against a lowest active listing of $25. Valuation confidence is high based on 12-plus modeled comparable sales.

Bullish: flat 30-day price action with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
12
Sales / Month
16.5
Velocity Score
83/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+26.5%
Confidence
96/100

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.

Grading ROI (model)
-51.6%
Grading not economical
unknown population

No population data reported for this asset.

Raw cost
$25.03
All-in cost
$54.03+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
Graded value (per gem)
$100
Expected proceeds
$26.1330% gem → $30.04 · less 13% fee
Net profit / card
-$27.90
Breakeven graded value
$207value needed to break even

Adjust modeled assumptions

These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.

  • Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
  • Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
  • Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
  • Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Simulated
Days to sell
1.7dmodeled median sale gap
Sell-through
87.0%over 90d window
Bid-ask spread
+0.1%lowest ask vs sold avg
Inventory depth
3active listings
Recent sold avg
$60.79mean over 90d
Lowest ask
$60.88cheapest active listing

Comp Explorer

Min
$53.76
Median
$64.87
Mean
$64.59
Max
$78.14

Showing 37 of 37 sales

These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps27.0850%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices28.4725%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection26.525%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)5.320%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$60.88MercariNear Mint7159d agoJan 1View
$64.40MercariNear Mint9671d agoJun 7View
$64.78PWCCNear Mint6568d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$58.43MercariNear Mint56d ago
$54.51eBayNear Mint58d ago
$56.35TCGPlayerNear Mint60d ago
$58.09MercariNear Mint61d ago
$53.76TCGPlayerNear Mint63d ago
$60.57Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint63d ago
$56.65MercariNear Mint63d ago
$58.11TCGPlayerNear Mint70d ago
$55.87PWCCNear Mint71d ago
$54.48MercariNear Mint72d ago
$55.39MercariNear Mint75d ago
$55.68PWCCNear Mint76d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Fair value basis
Simulated
Lowest ask (deal)
Simulated
Active listings
Simulated
Card image
Live
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Liquidity analytics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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