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Jynx — Base Set — Uncommon

Jynx

Simulated

Jynx · Base Set · Uncommon · 31

Character: Jynx

high confidenceneutral5830d ▼2.5%
Estimated Fair Value
$64.45
Lowest listing $68.12
Search live listings:eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
Bear Case
$54.58
Base Case
$64.45
Bull Case
$73.84

Price History

Dec 8Range $99.69 – $198Jun 5

Opportunity Score

32
  • Low active inventory+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • Strong demand (18 sales/mo)+5 pts

Investment Thesis

neutral58

Jynx is currently fairly valued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (-2.5%). Estimated fair value is $64 against a lowest active listing of $68. Valuation confidence is high based on 2-plus modeled comparable sales.

Neutral: flat 30-day price action with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Risk Indicators

  • Thin liquidity — few active listings, wider spreads likely
Active Listings
2
Sales / Month
18.0
Velocity Score
90/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
-1.5%
Confidence
81/100

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.

Grading ROI (model)
-26.8%
Grading not economical
unknown population

No population data reported for this asset.

Raw cost
$68.12
All-in cost
$97.12+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
Graded value (per gem)
$272
Expected proceeds
$71.1230% gem → $81.74 · less 13% fee
Net profit / card
-$26.00
Breakeven graded value
$372value needed to break even

Adjust modeled assumptions

These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.

  • Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
  • Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
  • Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
  • Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Simulated
Days to sell
1.7dmodeled median sale gap
Sell-through
61.0%over 90d window
Bid-ask spread
+13.8%lowest ask vs sold avg
Inventory depth
11active listings
Recent sold avg
$138mean over 90d
Lowest ask
$157cheapest active listing

Comp Explorer

Min
$100
Median
$145
Mean
$139
Max
$176

Showing 29 of 30 sales · 1 outlier trimmed

These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps65.1350%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices70.8125%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection57.5425%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)-0.320%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$157eBayNear Mint7466d agoJan 1View
$157MercariNear Mint7274d agoJan 1View
$161Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint7770d agoJun 7View
$168eBayNear Mint8468d agoJan 1View
$170PWCCNear Mint7263d agoJan 1View
$180TCGPlayerNear Mint6255d agoJan 1View
$189MercariNear Mint6361d agoJan 1View
$192TCGPlayerNear Mint7367d agoJan 1View
$193Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint8259d agoJan 1View
$193TCGPlayerNear Mint7260d agoJun 10View
$206Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint9168d agoJun 7View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$162TCGPlayerNear Mint56d ago
$164MercariNear Mint60d ago
$149Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint64d ago
$145eBayNear Mint64d ago
$154MercariNear Mint65d ago
$148PWCCNear Mint68d ago
$159TCGPlayerNear Mint70d ago
$138eBayNear Mint72d ago
$145PWCCNear Mint72d ago
$145TCGPlayerNear Mint75d ago
$140TCGPlayerNear Mint76d ago
$138eBayNear Mint79d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Fair value basis
Simulated
Lowest ask (deal)
Simulated
Active listings
Simulated
Card image
Live
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Liquidity analytics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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Same character or set.

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  • Low active inventory+9 pts
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eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
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  • Low active inventory+9 pts
  • Price up 19% over 30 days+8 pts
eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
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Gyarados — Base Set — Rare Holo
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  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
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