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Shinx — Crown Zenith — Common

Shinx

Simulated

Shinx · Crown Zenith · Common · 40

Character: Shinx

high confidencebullish7130d 3.4%
Estimated Fair Value
$13.82
Lowest listing $13.055.6% below
Search live listings:eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
Bear Case
$11.89
Base Case
$13.82
Bull Case
$15.78

Price History

Dec 8Range $47.13 – $73.00Jun 5

Opportunity Score

36
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • 6% below fair value+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (18 sales/mo)+5 pts
  • Sales accelerating+3 pts
  • Price up 3% over 30 days+1 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish71

Shinx is currently modestly undervalued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (+3.4%). Estimated fair value is $14 against a lowest active listing of $13. Valuation confidence is high based on 22-plus modeled comparable sales.

Bullish: flat 30-day price action with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
22
Sales / Month
18.0
Velocity Score
90/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+6.5%
Confidence
97/100

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.

Grading ROI (model)
-67.6%
Grading not economical
unknown population

No population data reported for this asset.

Raw cost
$13.05
All-in cost
$42.05+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
Graded value (per gem)
$52.20
Expected proceeds
$13.6230% gem → $15.66 · less 13% fee
Net profit / card
-$28.43
Breakeven graded value
$161value needed to break even

Adjust modeled assumptions

These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.

  • Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
  • Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
  • Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
  • Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Simulated
Days to sell
1.1dmodeled median sale gap
Sell-through
59.0%over 90d window
Bid-ask spread
-13.4%lowest ask vs sold avg
Inventory depth
14active listings
Recent sold avg
$53.99mean over 90d
Lowest ask
$46.76cheapest active listing

Comp Explorer

Min
$46.99
Median
$54.28
Mean
$54.24
Max
$62.03

Showing 36 of 37 sales · 1 outlier trimmed

These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps12.9950%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices15.0125%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection13.5825%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)1.2920%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$46.76TCGPlayerNear Mint6255d agoJan 1View
$46.92MercariNear Mint6872d agoJun 6View
$47.66eBayNear Mint9959d agoJan 1View
$51.05MercariNear Mint8260d agoJun 6View
$51.96PWCCNear Mint6773d agoJun 7View
$52.57PWCCNear Mint8857d agoJan 1View
$52.74MercariNear Mint9361d agoJan 1View
$53.26TCGPlayerNear Mint6274d agoJan 1View
$54.09eBayNear Mint8367d agoJan 1View
$55.13PWCCNear Mint9360d agoJan 1View
$56.30Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint7075d agoJan 1View
$57.01PWCCNear Mint6962d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$53.05Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint57d ago
$54.03TCGPlayerNear Mint57d ago
$56.49MercariNear Mint57d ago
$54.57PWCCNear Mint59d ago
$59.48Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint60d ago
$55.37eBayNear Mint61d ago
$49.61TCGPlayerNear Mint63d ago
$54.10Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint64d ago
$52.46Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint65d ago
$52.60PWCCNear Mint67d ago
$48.26MercariNear Mint67d ago
$56.20TCGPlayerNear Mint68d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Fair value basis
Simulated
Lowest ask (deal)
Simulated
Active listings
Simulated
Card image
Live
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Liquidity analytics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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