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Blastoise Promo

BGS 9Simulated

Blastoise Promo · Base Set · Promo · 98/102

Character: Blastoise

high confidencebullish8630d 13.3%
Estimated Fair Value
$468
Lowest listing $40313.9% below
Bear Case
$366
Base Case
$468
Bull Case
$571

Price History

Dec 2Range $395$591May 30

Opportunity Score

53
  • 14% below fair value+16 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • Sales accelerating+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • Price up 13% over 30 days+5 pts
  • Strong demand (17 sales/mo)+5 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish86

Blastoise Promo (BGS 9) is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+13.3%). Estimated fair value is $468 against a lowest active listing of $403. Valuation confidence is high based on 15-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+13.3% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and rising graded population (5.2%/mo).

Risk Indicators

  • Rising graded population may pressure prices
Active Listings
15
Sales / Month
17.0
Velocity Score
85/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+16.9%
Total Graded
3,075
Gem Mint
1,520
Population Growth
+5.2%
Rising — supply pressure

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps466.3450%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices445.225%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection481.9325%
population pressureAdjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value)-2.6150%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)3.3820%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$444TCGPlayerGraded957d agoJan 1View
$451eBayGraded8023h agoJan 1View
$454TCGPlayerGraded739d agoJan 1View
$467eBayGraded8710d agoJan 1View
$483eBayGraded734d agoJan 1View
$496eBayGraded8917d agoJan 1View
$501PWCCGraded649d agoJan 1View
$503TCGPlayerGraded8914d agoJan 1View
$514PWCCGraded7123h agoMay 31View
$531TCGPlayerGraded7918d agoJan 1View
$533eBayGraded643d agoMay 31View
$542eBayGraded953d agoJun 3View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$408eBayGraded5d ago
$405eBayGraded5d ago
$485MercariGraded12d ago
$449MercariGraded17d ago
$491PWCCGraded18d ago
$451eBayGraded21d ago
$461MercariGraded21d ago
$423Facebook MarketplaceGraded22d ago
$466TCGPlayerGraded26d ago
$419eBayGraded32d ago
$471MercariGraded34d ago
$468PWCCGraded34d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Same character or set.

AssetFair ValueLowestDiscount30dAvailScore
Base ZardBase SetPSA 10Simulated
  • Sales accelerating+10 pts
  • Price up 35% over 30 days+8 pts
  • Low active inventory+6 pts
$9,423$9,1962.4%34.7%447
Rayquaza ex (Illustration Rare)Base SetSimulated
  • 13% below fair value+15 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$948$82812.6%8.8%2346
Base Set Booster Box (Sealed)Base SetSimulated
  • 15% below fair value+17 pts
  • Sales accelerating+9 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
$48,098$41,11114.5%11.9%1055
Umbreon ex (Special Illustration)Base SetSimulated
  • 17% below fair value+20 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+5 pts
$2,063$1,70317.4%24.9%2043
Pikachu Ultra RareBase SetBGS 9Simulated
  • Price up 45% over 30 days+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • Low active inventory+6 pts
$1,270$1,2342.8%45.3%446
Mewtwo Ultra RareBase SetPSA 10Simulated
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
$1,991$1,9084.2%6.3%742