Grovyle
CGC 10SimulatedGrovyle · EX Ruby & Sapphire · Uncommon · 32
Character: Grovyle
Price History
Opportunity Score
30- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Reputable seller+5 pts
- Strong demand (15 sales/mo)+5 pts
- 4% below fair value+4 pts
- Price up 6% over 30 days+3 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish68Grovyle (CGC 10) is currently fairly valued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+6.5%). Estimated fair value is $81 against a lowest active listing of $78. Valuation confidence is high based on 19-plus modeled comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+6.5% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and rising graded population (6.2%/mo).
Risk Indicators
- Rising graded population may pressure prices
Grading ROI & Population Trend
Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.
Population growing 2.4%/mo — steady supply across 4060 graded.
4,060 graded · 32% gem · +2.4%/mo
- Raw cost
- $78.16
- All-in cost
- $107+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
- Graded value (per gem)
- $81.23
- Expected proceeds
- $21.2030% gem → $24.37 · less 13% fee
- Net profit / card
- -$85.96
- Breakeven graded value
- $411value needed to break even
Adjust modeled assumptions
These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.
- Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of CGC 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
- Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
- Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
- Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
- Days to sell
- 0.8dmodeled median sale gap
- Sell-through
- 68.0%over 90d window
- Bid-ask spread
- -21.5%lowest ask vs sold avg
- Inventory depth
- 11active listings
- Recent sold avg
- $248mean over 90d
- Lowest ask
- $195cheapest active listing
Comp Explorer
- Min
- $212
- Median
- $245
- Mean
- $247
- Max
- $272
Showing 28 of 28 sales
These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 83.56 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 85.42 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 85.16 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -3.08 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | -0.73 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $195 | Mercari | Graded | 62 | 73d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $207 | eBay | Graded | 94 | 73d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $209 | Mercari | Graded | 99 | 55d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $211 | PWCC | Graded | 93 | 55d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $215 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 69 | 74d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $219 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 98 | 56d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $228 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 96 | 56d ago | Jun 7 | View |
| $231 | PWCC | Graded | 96 | 56d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $241 | Mercari | Graded | 89 | 66d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $248 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 65 | 75d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $254 | Mercari | Graded | 68 | 65d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $241 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 57d ago |
| $238 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 58d ago |
| $244 | eBay | Graded | 58d ago |
| $231 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 59d ago |
| $259 | Mercari | Graded | 60d ago |
| $242 | eBay | Graded | 65d ago |
| $230 | eBay | Graded | 69d ago |
| $212 | Mercari | Graded | 70d ago |
| $233 | Mercari | Graded | 71d ago |
| $245 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 72d ago |
| $257 | Mercari | Graded | 74d ago |
| $263 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 74d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Fair value basis
- Simulated
- Lowest ask (deal)
- Simulated
- Active listings
- Simulated
- Card image
- Live
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Liquidity analytics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 WailordEX Ruby & SapphireCGC 10Simulated
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 SharpedoEX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
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 SlakingEX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
| $176 | $150 | 14.7% | 5.4% | 7 | 50 |
 BlazikenEX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
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