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Zeraora — Crown Zenith — Rare

Zeraora

Simulated

Zeraora · Crown Zenith · Rare · 52

Character: Zeraora

high confidencebearish3530d 9.4%
Estimated Fair Value
$54.59
Lowest listing $47.1113.7% below
Search live listings:eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
Bear Case
$46.43
Base Case
$54.59
Bull Case
$62.41

Price History

Dec 8Range $51.44 – $82.25Jun 5

Opportunity Score

42
  • 14% below fair value+16 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Low active inventory+5 pts
  • Strong demand (8 sales/mo)+2 pts

Investment Thesis

bearish35

Zeraora is currently modestly undervalued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-9.4%). Estimated fair value is $55 against a lowest active listing of $47. Valuation confidence is high based on 5-plus modeled comparable sales.

Bearish: softening prices (-9.4% over 30d) amid thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
5
Sales / Month
7.5
Velocity Score
38/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
-8.3%
Confidence
87/100

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.

Grading ROI (model)
-35.4%
Grading not economical
unknown population

No population data reported for this asset.

Raw cost
$47.11
All-in cost
$76.11+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
Graded value (per gem)
$188
Expected proceeds
$49.1830% gem → $56.53 · less 13% fee
Net profit / card
-$26.93
Breakeven graded value
$292value needed to break even

Adjust modeled assumptions

These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.

  • Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
  • Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
  • Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
  • Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Simulated
Days to sell
1.1dmodeled median sale gap
Sell-through
43.0%over 90d window
Bid-ask spread
-22.2%lowest ask vs sold avg
Inventory depth
17active listings
Recent sold avg
$69.91mean over 90d
Lowest ask
$54.40cheapest active listing

Comp Explorer

Min
$59.16
Median
$76.22
Mean
$74.20
Max
$83.94

Showing 31 of 31 sales

These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps58.3950%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices52.8725%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection52.3825%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)-1.6520%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$54.40TCGPlayerNear Mint8357d agoJan 1View
$55.96MercariNear Mint8262d agoJan 1View
$56.03PWCCNear Mint6368d agoJan 1View
$56.26Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint8966d agoJan 1View
$58.08Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint6575d agoJan 1View
$58.86eBayNear Mint7470d agoJan 1View
$60.63TCGPlayerNear Mint6671d agoJan 1View
$61.31eBayNear Mint7473d agoJan 1View
$61.54Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint6465d agoJan 1View
$62.64MercariNear Mint9359d agoJan 1View
$62.70PWCCNear Mint6155d agoJan 1View
$66.23Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint8575d agoJun 7View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$60.01PWCCNear Mint55d ago
$78.64MercariNear Mint70d ago
$79.01PWCCNear Mint70d ago
$77.34eBayNear Mint70d ago
$73.86MercariNear Mint71d ago
$68.00MercariNear Mint72d ago
$76.22MercariNear Mint72d ago
$62.94TCGPlayerNear Mint76d ago
$63.41eBayNear Mint81d ago
$67.09MercariNear Mint83d ago
$59.16eBayNear Mint83d ago
$66.53eBayNear Mint86d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Fair value basis
Simulated
Lowest ask (deal)
Simulated
Active listings
Simulated
Card image
Live
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Liquidity analytics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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