Umbreon Secret Rare (BGS 10) is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+8.6%). Estimated fair value is $5355 against a lowest active listing of $4915. Valuation confidence is high based on 5-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+8.6% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 5185.74 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 5424.9 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 5498.54 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -2.1 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 2.75 | 20% |
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $4,238 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 5d ago |
| $4,676 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 6d ago |
| $3,922 | eBay | Graded | 12d ago |
| $3,992 | Mercari | Graded | 19d ago |
| $3,771 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 20d ago |
| $3,700 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 21d ago |
| $4,432 | PWCC | Graded | 29d ago |
| $4,233 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 29d ago |
| $4,632 | Mercari | Graded | 30d ago |
| $4,192 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 30d ago |
| $4,459 | eBay | Graded | 34d ago |
| $4,516 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 39d ago |
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Umbreon PromoScarlet & Violet 151Simulated
| $283 | $255 | 9.8% | 11.6% | 19 | 37 |
MoonbreonEvolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
| $1,573 | $1,451 | 7.7% | 2.4% | 15 | 44 |
Umbreon Holo RareXY EvolutionsSimulated
| $279 | $220 | 21.1% | 23.8% | 11 | 48 |
Umbreon V (Full Art)Scarlet & Violet 151BGS 9.5Simulated
| $546 | $541 | 1.0% | 12.6% | 10 | 34 |
Umbreon PromoHeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
| $388 | $351 | 9.5% | 3.1% | 22 | 34 |
Umbreon Holo RareEvolving SkiesBGS 9Simulated
| $339 | $306 | 9.6% | 14.7% | 5 | 38 |