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Blastoise Holo Rare

Simulated

Blastoise Holo Rare · HeartGold SoulSilver · Holo Rare · 53/123

Character: Blastoise

high confidenceneutral4930d 3.0%
Estimated Fair Value
$159
Lowest listing $13714.1% below
Bear Case
$136
Base Case
$159
Bull Case
$183

Price History

Dec 2Range $119$185May 30

Opportunity Score

50
  • 14% below fair value+17 pts
  • Sales accelerating+11 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (8 sales/mo)+2 pts

Investment Thesis

neutral49

Blastoise Holo Rare is currently modestly undervalued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (-3.0%). Estimated fair value is $159 against a lowest active listing of $137. Valuation confidence is high based on 19-plus recent comparable sales.

Neutral: flat 30-day price action with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
19
Sales / Month
8.0
Velocity Score
40/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
+27.8%
Confidence
97/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps148.8850%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices158.5125%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection146.8325%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)5.5520%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$126TCGPlayerNear Mint895d agoMay 31View
$127TCGPlayerNear Mint888d agoJun 2View
$130TCGPlayerNear Mint626d agoJan 1View
$131TCGPlayerNear Mint8616d agoJan 1View
$131Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint8611d agoJan 1View
$131TCGPlayerNear Mint872d agoJan 1View
$132PWCCNear Mint1007d agoJun 1View
$133TCGPlayerNear Mint9814d agoJan 1View
$139eBayNear Mint886d agoJan 1View
$140MercariNear Mint675d agoJan 1View
$147eBayNear Mint8217d agoJun 4View
$149MercariNear Mint6612d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$121eBayNear Mint7d ago
$152Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint27d ago
$149Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint32d ago
$141eBayNear Mint36d ago
$145eBayNear Mint39d ago
$151Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint46d ago
$153MercariNear Mint47d ago
$136eBayNear Mint49d ago
$132TCGPlayerNear Mint49d ago
$145MercariNear Mint52d ago
$142Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint58d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Same character or set.

AssetFair ValueLowestDiscount30dAvailScore
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  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
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  • Sales accelerating+10 pts
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  • 15% below fair value+18 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
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Gengar Secret RareHeartGold SoulSilverBGS 9Simulated
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  • 6% below fair value+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$719$6736.4%6.1%1446
Pikachu ex (Special Illustration)HeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
  • 17% below fair value+20 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$672$55617.3%20.6%2346
Gengar ex (Illustration Rare)HeartGold SoulSilverBGS 10Simulated
  • Low active inventory+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
$696$6930.5%2.5%233