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Charizard VMAX (Alt Art)

Simulated

Charizard VMAX (Alt Art) · XY Evolutions · Alt Art · 68/108

Character: Charizard

high confidenceneutral4330d 9.9%
Estimated Fair Value
$1,183
Lowest listing $98316.9% below
Bear Case
$1,005
Base Case
$1,183
Bull Case
$1,356

Price History

Dec 2Range $821$1.2KMay 30

Opportunity Score

51
  • 17% below fair value+20 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (20 sales/mo)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+5 pts
  • Sales accelerating+5 pts
  • Low active inventory+3 pts

Investment Thesis

neutral43

Charizard VMAX (Alt Art) is currently trading at a meaningful discount to fair value, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-9.9%). Estimated fair value is $1183 against a lowest active listing of $983. Valuation confidence is high based on 7-plus recent comparable sales.

Neutral: softening prices (-9.9% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
7
Sales / Month
19.5
Velocity Score
98/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+12.5%
Confidence
91/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps1178.450%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices1134.6725%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection1123.6725%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)2.520%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$912MercariNear Mint639d agoMay 31View
$1,065Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint6721d agoJan 1View
$1,117eBayNear Mint6617d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$936PWCCNear Mint3h ago
$1,016Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint19h ago
$980MercariNear Mint2d ago
$1,047Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint5d ago
$1,082TCGPlayerNear Mint7d ago
$918PWCCNear Mint16d ago
$986TCGPlayerNear Mint27d ago
$956MercariNear Mint36d ago
$1,053Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint43d ago
$1,050TCGPlayerNear Mint47d ago
$1,042PWCCNear Mint56d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Same character or set.

AssetFair ValueLowestDiscount30dAvailScore
Charizard GX (Shiny)Hidden FatesPSA 10Simulated
  • 9% below fair value+10 pts
  • Population growth slowing+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
$808$7378.8%0.3%448
Base ZardBase SetPSA 10Simulated
  • Sales accelerating+7 pts
  • Low active inventory+7 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
$7,941$7,944-0.1%10.3%336
Charizard Holo RareEvolving SkiesSimulated
  • 7% below fair value+9 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$212$1977.5%16.0%2039
Charizard ex (Illustration Rare)Evolving SkiesBGS 9.5Simulated
  • 15% below fair value+18 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • Population growth slowing+7 pts
$539$45715.3%3.5%2048
Charizard Ultra RareHidden FatesSimulated
  • Price up 19% over 30 days+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$476$4750.3%18.7%2231
Charizard ex (Illustration Rare)XY EvolutionsSimulated
  • 20% below fair value+23 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$766$61519.7%25.7%2051