Charizard VMAX (Alt Art)
SimulatedCharizard VMAX (Alt Art) · XY Evolutions · Alt Art · 68/108
Character: Charizard
Price History
Opportunity Score
51- 17% below fair value+20 pts
- High valuation confidence+6 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Strong demand (20 sales/mo)+6 pts
- Reputable seller+5 pts
- Sales accelerating+5 pts
- Low active inventory+3 pts
Investment Thesis
neutral43Charizard VMAX (Alt Art) is currently trading at a meaningful discount to fair value, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-9.9%). Estimated fair value is $1183 against a lowest active listing of $983. Valuation confidence is high based on 7-plus recent comparable sales.
Neutral: softening prices (-9.9% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 1178.4 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 1134.67 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 1123.67 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 2.5 | 20% |
Active Listings
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $936 | PWCC | Near Mint | 3h ago |
| $1,016 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 19h ago |
| $980 | Mercari | Near Mint | 2d ago |
| $1,047 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 5d ago |
| $1,082 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 7d ago |
| $918 | PWCC | Near Mint | 16d ago |
| $986 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 27d ago |
| $956 | Mercari | Near Mint | 36d ago |
| $1,053 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 43d ago |
| $1,050 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 47d ago |
| $1,042 | PWCC | Near Mint | 56d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charizard GX (Shiny)Hidden FatesPSA 10Simulated
| $808 | $737 | 8.8% | 0.3% | 4 | 48 |
Base ZardBase SetPSA 10Simulated
| $7,941 | $7,944 | -0.1% | 10.3% | 3 | 36 |
Charizard Holo RareEvolving SkiesSimulated
| $212 | $197 | 7.5% | 16.0% | 20 | 39 |
Charizard ex (Illustration Rare)Evolving SkiesBGS 9.5Simulated
| $539 | $457 | 15.3% | 3.5% | 20 | 48 |
Charizard Ultra RareHidden FatesSimulated
| $476 | $475 | 0.3% | 18.7% | 22 | 31 |
Charizard ex (Illustration Rare)XY EvolutionsSimulated
| $766 | $615 | 19.7% | 25.7% | 20 | 51 |