PokéAlpha
Back to dashboard

Espeon ex (Special Illustration)

Simulated

Espeon ex (Special Illustration) · HeartGold SoulSilver · Special Illustration Rare · 87/123

Character: Espeon

high confidencebullish9330d 28.0%
Estimated Fair Value
$425
Lowest listing $4152.4% below
Bear Case
$359
Base Case
$425
Bull Case
$493

Price History

Dec 2Range $322$599May 30

Opportunity Score

39
  • Price up 28% over 30 days+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Low active inventory+5 pts
  • Strong demand (11 sales/mo)+3 pts
  • 2% below fair value+3 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish93

Espeon ex (Special Illustration) is currently fairly valued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+28.0%). Estimated fair value is $425 against a lowest active listing of $415. Valuation confidence is high based on 5-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+28.0% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
5
Sales / Month
11.0
Velocity Score
55/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
-10.2%
Confidence
86/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps415.850%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices451.1525%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection452.0525%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)-2.0320%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$332Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint807d agoJan 1View
$335eBayNear Mint644d agoJan 1View
$343TCGPlayerNear Mint8812d agoJun 4View
$351eBayNear Mint7623h agoJan 1View
$351MercariNear Mint883d agoJun 2View
$365MercariNear Mint767d agoJan 1View
$366eBayNear Mint9219d agoJan 1View
$368MercariNear Mint784d agoJan 1View
$383eBayNear Mint7316d agoJun 3View
$389TCGPlayerNear Mint8123h agoJun 2View
$390MercariNear Mint7118d agoJan 1View
$391TCGPlayerNear Mint623d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$329TCGPlayerNear Mint3d ago
$320eBayNear Mint4d ago
$346Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint12d ago
$370PWCCNear Mint14d ago
$376TCGPlayerNear Mint14d ago
$368MercariNear Mint15d ago
$419MercariNear Mint19d ago
$436TCGPlayerNear Mint22d ago
$483eBayNear Mint26d ago
$482MercariNear Mint31d ago
$416MercariNear Mint32d ago
$418TCGPlayerNear Mint36d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Same character or set.

AssetFair ValueLowestDiscount30dAvailScore
Umbreon PromoHeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
  • 12% below fair value+14 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$402$35312.2%5.6%1445
Pikachu ex (Illustration Rare)HeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
  • 12% below fair value+15 pts
  • Sales accelerating+10 pts
  • Low active inventory+6 pts
$449$39312.5%8.6%451
Umbreon Ultra RareHeartGold SoulSilverCGC 9Simulated
  • 15% below fair value+18 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • Population growth slowing+7 pts
$668$56715.1%18.0%1147
Gengar Secret RareHeartGold SoulSilverBGS 9Simulated
  • Population growth slowing+8 pts
  • 6% below fair value+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$719$6736.4%6.1%1446
Pikachu ex (Special Illustration)HeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
  • 17% below fair value+20 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$672$55617.3%20.6%2346
Gengar ex (Illustration Rare)HeartGold SoulSilverBGS 10Simulated
  • Low active inventory+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
$696$6930.5%2.5%233