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Glaceon V — Evolving Skies — Rare Holo V

Glaceon V

Simulated

Glaceon V · Evolving Skies · Rare Holo V · 40

Character: Glaceon

high confidenceneutral6030d 0.3%
Estimated Fair Value
$26.88
Lowest listing $22.2617.2% below
Search live listings:eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
Bear Case
$23.29
Base Case
$26.88
Bull Case
$30.44

Price History

Dec 8Range $51.82 – $107Jun 5

Opportunity Score

52
  • 17% below fair value+20 pts
  • Sales accelerating+9 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (14 sales/mo)+4 pts

Investment Thesis

neutral60

Glaceon V is currently trading at a meaningful discount to fair value, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (-0.3%). Estimated fair value is $27 against a lowest active listing of $22. Valuation confidence is high based on 13-plus modeled comparable sales.

Neutral: flat 30-day price action with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
13
Sales / Month
14.0
Velocity Score
70/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+21.7%
Confidence
98/100

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.

Grading ROI (model)
-54.7%
Grading not economical
unknown population

No population data reported for this asset.

Raw cost
$22.26
All-in cost
$51.26+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
Graded value (per gem)
$89.04
Expected proceeds
$23.2430% gem → $26.71 · less 13% fee
Net profit / card
-$28.02
Breakeven graded value
$196value needed to break even

Adjust modeled assumptions

These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.

  • Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
  • Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
  • Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
  • Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Simulated
Days to sell
0.8dmodeled median sale gap
Sell-through
76.0%over 90d window
Bid-ask spread
-29.0%lowest ask vs sold avg
Inventory depth
4active listings
Recent sold avg
$64.60mean over 90d
Lowest ask
$45.84cheapest active listing

Comp Explorer

Min
$50.57
Median
$67.20
Mean
$66.24
Max
$81.87

Showing 22 of 22 sales

These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps25.4750%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices26.2425%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection25.8625%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)4.3520%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$45.84TCGPlayerNear Mint7659d agoJan 1View
$46.13eBayNear Mint9760d agoJan 1View
$46.49MercariNear Mint9059d agoJan 1View
$51.73Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint9966d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$50.57MercariNear Mint55d ago
$51.90Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint55d ago
$57.23TCGPlayerNear Mint55d ago
$54.60TCGPlayerNear Mint65d ago
$61.13PWCCNear Mint70d ago
$63.62Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint76d ago
$67.09TCGPlayerNear Mint77d ago
$66.46MercariNear Mint80d ago
$70.74eBayNear Mint80d ago
$68.25MercariNear Mint81d ago
$71.20eBayNear Mint82d ago
$75.19Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint85d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Fair value basis
Simulated
Lowest ask (deal)
Simulated
Active listings
Simulated
Card image
Live
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Liquidity analytics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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