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Mew Secret Rare

BGS 10Simulated

Mew Secret Rare · Neo Genesis · Secret Rare · 53/111

Character: Mew

medium confidencebullish6730d 8.0%
Estimated Fair Value
$2,276
Lowest listing $2,1256.6% below
Bear Case
$1,966
Base Case
$2,276
Bull Case
$2,586

Price History

Dec 2Range $1.9K$2.7KMay 30

Opportunity Score

34
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • 7% below fair value+8 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • High valuation confidence+4 pts
  • Population growth slowing+4 pts
  • Price up 8% over 30 days+3 pts
  • Sales accelerating+1 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish67

Mew Secret Rare (BGS 10) is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+8.0%). Estimated fair value is $2276 against a lowest active listing of $2125. Valuation confidence is medium based on 13-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+8.0% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
13
Sales / Month
3.0
Velocity Score
15/100
Illiquid
Sales Velocity 30d
+3.0%
Total Graded
6,516
Gem Mint
1,611
Population Growth
+2.6%
Slowing

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps2200.2650%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices2485.7925%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection2280.8125%
population pressureAdjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value)-1.2950%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)0.620%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$1,829MercariGraded8710d agoJan 1View
$1,867MercariGraded827d agoJan 1View
$1,903eBayGraded9016d agoJan 1View
$1,920TCGPlayerGraded7615d agoJan 1View
$1,970PWCCGraded6817d agoJan 1View
$2,079MercariGraded6812d agoJan 1View
$2,188eBayGraded905d agoJan 1View
$2,189eBayGraded724d agoMay 31View
$2,212MercariGraded6211d agoJan 1View
$2,305eBayGraded8120d agoJan 1View
$2,388eBayGraded7610d agoJan 1View
$2,397TCGPlayerGraded8913d agoJun 4View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$2,060eBayGraded12h ago
$2,025Facebook MarketplaceGraded2d ago
$2,400eBayGraded5d ago
$2,403TCGPlayerGraded9d ago
$2,361TCGPlayerGraded9d ago
$2,224MercariGraded15d ago
$2,652PWCCGraded20d ago
$2,669PWCCGraded20d ago
$2,426Facebook MarketplaceGraded24d ago
$2,610PWCCGraded25d ago
$2,399Facebook MarketplaceGraded26d ago
$2,465TCGPlayerGraded27d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Same character or set.

AssetFair ValueLowestDiscount30dAvailScore
Lugia (Neo Genesis)Neo GenesisPSA 9Simulated
  • 13% below fair value+16 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • Low active inventory+6 pts
$1,292$1,11813.4%33.1%450
Umbreon VMAX (Alt Art)Neo GenesisSimulated
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • Price up 18% over 30 days+7 pts
  • Low active inventory+7 pts
$1,536$1,543-0.5%17.9%342
Mew ex (Illustration Rare)Neo GenesisSimulated
  • 15% below fair value+18 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
$982$83115.4%17.0%1742
Mew ex (Special Illustration)Evolving SkiesSimulated
  • 11% below fair value+13 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
$418$37111.2%1.5%1138
Mew VMAX (Alt Art)FossilCGC 10Simulated
  • Low active inventory+8 pts
  • Population growth slowing+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
$4,163$4,0622.4%7.4%251
Mew Ultra RareJungleSimulated
  • 14% below fair value+17 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$773$66414.1%6.7%2148