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Mew Holo Rare card artwork

Mew Holo Rare

Simulated

Mew Holo Rare · Base Set · Holo Rare · 51/102

Character: Mew

high confidenceneutral4530d ▼7.4%
Estimated Fair Value
$414
Lowest listing $35813.4% below
Bear Case
$357
Base Case
$414
Bull Case
$470

Price History

Dec 2Range $324 – $551May 30

Opportunity Score

54
  • 13% below fair value+16 pts
  • Sales accelerating+11 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (15 sales/mo)+5 pts
  • Low active inventory+3 pts

Investment Thesis

neutral45

Mew Holo Rare is currently modestly undervalued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-7.4%). Estimated fair value is $414 against a lowest active listing of $358. Valuation confidence is high based on 7-plus recent comparable sales.

Neutral: softening prices (-7.4% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
7
Sales / Month
15.0
Velocity Score
75/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+26.2%
Confidence
92/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps399.3550%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices386.7225%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection387.3825%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)5.2420%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$345Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint8218d agoJan 1View
$347eBayNear Mint837d agoJan 1View
$365MercariNear Mint639d agoJan 1View
$399MercariNear Mint615d agoJan 1View
$417eBayNear Mint8312d agoJun 2View
$419TCGPlayerNear Mint775d agoJun 2View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$413PWCCNear Mint4d ago
$386TCGPlayerNear Mint5d ago
$360PWCCNear Mint10d ago
$379MercariNear Mint27d ago
$376TCGPlayerNear Mint30d ago
$366TCGPlayerNear Mint33d ago
$454PWCCNear Mint42d ago
$434PWCCNear Mint44d ago
$465MercariNear Mint46d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Related Assets

Same character or set.

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  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
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  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • High listing quality (sealed)+6 pts
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Umbreon ex (Special Illustration)Base SetSimulated
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  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
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Pikachu Ultra RareBase SetBGS 9Simulated
  • 23% below fair value+27 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
$990$76422.9%▼24.6%1659
Mewtwo Ultra RareBase SetPSA 10Simulated
  • 19% below fair value+22 pts
  • Sales accelerating+11 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
$1,802$1,46818.6%▼15.7%2360