Mew Holo Rare is currently modestly undervalued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-7.4%). Estimated fair value is $414 against a lowest active listing of $358. Valuation confidence is high based on 7-plus recent comparable sales.
Neutral: softening prices (-7.4% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 399.35 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 386.72 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 387.38 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 5.24 | 20% |
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $413 | PWCC | Near Mint | 4d ago |
| $386 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 5d ago |
| $360 | PWCC | Near Mint | 10d ago |
| $379 | Mercari | Near Mint | 27d ago |
| $376 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 30d ago |
| $366 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 33d ago |
| $454 | PWCC | Near Mint | 42d ago |
| $434 | PWCC | Near Mint | 44d ago |
| $465 | Mercari | Near Mint | 46d ago |
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Base ZardBase SetPSA 10Simulated
| $7,804 | $6,662 | 14.6% | 16.7% | 6 | 44 |
Rayquaza ex (Illustration Rare)Base SetSimulated
| $820 | $888 | -8.4% | 16.9% | 3 | 32 |
Base Set Booster Box (Sealed)Base SetSimulated
| $47,621 | $43,611 | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9 | 37 |
Umbreon ex (Special Illustration)Base SetSimulated
| $2,896 | $2,864 | 1.1% | 27.6% | 16 | 31 |
Pikachu Ultra RareBase SetBGS 9Simulated
| $990 | $764 | 22.9% | 24.6% | 16 | 59 |
Mewtwo Ultra RareBase SetPSA 10Simulated
| $1,802 | $1,468 | 18.6% | 15.7% | 23 | 60 |