Sunflora
PSA 9SimulatedSunflora · Neo Genesis · Uncommon · 50
Character: Sunflora
Price History
Opportunity Score
48- Low active inventory+8 pts
- Price up 26% over 30 days+8 pts
- Reputable seller+6 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- High valuation confidence+6 pts
- Strong demand (18 sales/mo)+5 pts
- Population growth slowing+5 pts
- Sales accelerating+4 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish96Sunflora (PSA 9) is currently fairly valued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+25.8%). Estimated fair value is $65 against a lowest active listing of $65. Valuation confidence is high based on 2-plus modeled comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+25.8% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
Risk Indicators
- Thin liquidity — few active listings, wider spreads likely
Grading ROI & Population Trend
Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.
Population growing 6.3%/mo — supply expanding quickly across 6161 graded.
6,161 graded · 39% gem · +6.3%/mo
- Raw cost
- $65.48
- All-in cost
- $94.48+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
- Graded value (per gem)
- $64.90
- Expected proceeds
- $16.9430% gem → $19.47 · less 13% fee
- Net profit / card
- -$77.54
- Breakeven graded value
- $362value needed to break even
Adjust modeled assumptions
These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.
- Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 9 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
- Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
- Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
- Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
- Days to sell
- 1.7dmodeled median sale gap
- Sell-through
- 64.0%over 90d window
- Bid-ask spread
- -2.2%lowest ask vs sold avg
- Inventory depth
- 9active listings
- Recent sold avg
- $295mean over 90d
- Lowest ask
- $288cheapest active listing
Comp Explorer
- Min
- $255
- Median
- $289
- Mean
- $287
- Max
- $317
Showing 23 of 26 sales · 3 outliers trimmed
These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 61.44 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 68.8 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 65.44 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -0.94 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 1.92 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $288 | PWCC | Graded | 88 | 68d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $308 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 63 | 59d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $309 | PWCC | Graded | 68 | 63d ago | Jun 10 | View |
| $313 | PWCC | Graded | 95 | 67d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $318 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 62 | 71d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $320 | Mercari | Graded | 79 | 73d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $323 | PWCC | Graded | 61 | 69d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $329 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 77 | 68d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $329 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 79 | 62d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $292 | Mercari | Graded | 59d ago |
| $279 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 59d ago |
| $317 | eBay | Graded | 59d ago |
| $308 | eBay | Graded | 61d ago |
| $300 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 65d ago |
| $284 | PWCC | Graded | 67d ago |
| $312 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 69d ago |
| $288 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 71d ago |
| $295 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 73d ago |
| $323 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 74d ago |
| $274 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 75d ago |
| $295 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 77d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Fair value basis
- Simulated
- Lowest ask (deal)
- Simulated
- Active listings
- Simulated
- Card image
- Live
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Liquidity analytics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 QuilavaNeo GenesisPSA 9Simulated
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 HeracrossNeo GenesisBGS 9.5Simulated
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 SeadraNeo GenesisCGC 9Simulated
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 FlaaffyNeo GenesisSimulated
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