Gardevoir Holo Rare
BGS 10SimulatedGardevoir Holo Rare · XY Evolutions · Holo Rare · 67/108
Character: Gardevoir
Price History
Opportunity Score
36- Price up 27% over 30 days+8 pts
- Reputable seller+8 pts
- High valuation confidence+6 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Sales accelerating+4 pts
- Population growth slowing+3 pts
- Strong demand (6 sales/mo)+2 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish86Gardevoir Holo Rare (BGS 10) is currently fairly valued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+26.8%). Estimated fair value is $448 against a lowest active listing of $447. Valuation confidence is high based on 16-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+26.8% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 408.02 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 500.88 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 471.63 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -1.63 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 1.81 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $331 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 83 | 12d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $350 | Mercari | Graded | 62 | 12d ago | Jun 1 | View |
| $359 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 84 | 7d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $362 | PWCC | Graded | 80 | 3d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $370 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 74 | 5d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $380 | PWCC | Graded | 88 | 5d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $384 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 80 | 19d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $396 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 71 | 17d ago | Jun 4 | View |
| $404 | eBay | Graded | 97 | 2d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $379 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 3h ago |
| $389 | eBay | Graded | 7d ago |
| $430 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 26d ago |
| $419 | Mercari | Graded | 41d ago |
| $457 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 54d ago |
| $410 | Mercari | Graded | 58d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charizard ex (Illustration Rare)XY EvolutionsSimulated
| $693 | $598 | 13.7% | 2.5% | 2 | 54 |
Umbreon Holo RareXY EvolutionsSimulated
| $249 | $219 | 11.9% | 10.6% | 4 | 42 |
Umbreon VMAX (Alt Art)XY EvolutionsBGS 9Simulated
| $1,049 | $967 | 7.9% | 21.7% | 14 | 44 |
Charizard VMAX (Alt Art)XY EvolutionsSimulated
| $1,090 | $1,030 | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4 | 37 |
Charizard ex (Special Illustration)XY EvolutionsSimulated
| $630 | $557 | 11.6% | 0.8% | 20 | 43 |
Pikachu VMAX (Alt Art)XY EvolutionsPSA 9.5Simulated
| $1,242 | $1,160 | 6.6% | 11.7% | 23 | 40 |