Raichu
SimulatedRaichu · XY Evolutions · Rare Holo · 36
Character: Raichu
Price History
Opportunity Score
41- 15% below fair value+17 pts
- Reputable seller+7 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Sales accelerating+5 pts
- High valuation confidence+4 pts
- Price up 3% over 30 days+1 pts
Investment Thesis
neutral59Raichu is currently modestly undervalued, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (+2.9%). Estimated fair value is $56 against a lowest active listing of $48. Valuation confidence is medium based on 19-plus modeled comparable sales.
Neutral: flat 30-day price action with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
Grading ROI & Population Trend
Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.
No population data reported for this asset.
- Raw cost
- $47.94
- All-in cost
- $76.94+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
- Graded value (per gem)
- $192
- Expected proceeds
- $50.0530% gem → $57.53 · less 13% fee
- Net profit / card
- -$26.89
- Breakeven graded value
- $295value needed to break even
Adjust modeled assumptions
These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.
- Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
- Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
- Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
- Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
- Days to sell
- 0.6dmodeled median sale gap
- Sell-through
- 93.0%over 90d window
- Bid-ask spread
- -8.2%lowest ask vs sold avg
- Inventory depth
- 2active listings
- Recent sold avg
- $91.51mean over 90d
- Lowest ask
- $84.04cheapest active listing
Comp Explorer
- Min
- $76.44
- Median
- $98.43
- Mean
- $104
- Max
- $143
Showing 38 of 38 sales
These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 55 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 56.36 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 53.6 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 2.51 | 20% |
Active Listings
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $81.68 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 58d ago |
| $80.86 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 58d ago |
| $84.96 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 61d ago |
| $89.00 | eBay | Near Mint | 64d ago |
| $92.40 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 66d ago |
| $82.83 | Mercari | Near Mint | 68d ago |
| $83.97 | eBay | Near Mint | 68d ago |
| $88.09 | eBay | Near Mint | 69d ago |
| $85.56 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 70d ago |
| $85.71 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 70d ago |
| $76.44 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 73d ago |
| $78.85 | Mercari | Near Mint | 74d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Fair value basis
- Simulated
- Lowest ask (deal)
- Simulated
- Active listings
- Simulated
- Card image
- Live
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Liquidity analytics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 Mewtwo-EXXY EvolutionsSimulated
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 MewtwoXY EvolutionsSimulated
| $2,338 | $2,065 | 11.7% | 36.8% | 21 | 44 |
Mewtwo-EXXY EvolutionsBGS 9.5Simulated
| $3,246 | $2,970 | 8.5% | 19.1% | 20 | 46 |
 Blastoise-EXXY EvolutionsSimulated
| $1,174 | $1,047 | 10.8% | 6.4% | 6 | 42 |
Blastoise-EXXY EvolutionsSimulated
| $288 | $266 | 7.8% | 16.0% | 14 | 31 |