Mew Ultra Rare
PSA 10SimulatedMew Ultra Rare · Crown Zenith · Ultra Rare · 68/159
Character: Mew
Price History
Opportunity Score
51- 15% below fair value+18 pts
- Sales accelerating+11 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- Reputable seller+6 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Strong demand (10 sales/mo)+3 pts
Investment Thesis
bearish33Mew Ultra Rare (PSA 10) is currently trading at a meaningful discount to fair value, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-8.6%). Estimated fair value is $495 against a lowest active listing of $421. Valuation confidence is high based on 19-plus recent comparable sales.
Bearish: softening prices (-8.6% over 30d) amid healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 494.89 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 483.91 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 450.92 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -2.44 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 5.48 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $452 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 64 | 16d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $470 | eBay | Graded | 84 | 16d ago | Jun 1 | View |
| $489 | eBay | Graded | 79 | 20d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $504 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 67 | 15d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $515 | eBay | Graded | 65 | 14d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $515 | PWCC | Graded | 60 | 21d ago | Jun 4 | View |
| $577 | PWCC | Graded | 91 | 14d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $549 | eBay | Graded | 4h ago |
| $554 | PWCC | Graded | 5d ago |
| $533 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 6d ago |
| $524 | Mercari | Graded | 9d ago |
| $514 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 22d ago |
| $466 | PWCC | Graded | 31d ago |
| $492 | eBay | Graded | 32d ago |
| $508 | Mercari | Graded | 43d ago |
| $637 | Mercari | Graded | 46d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charizard V (Full Art)Crown ZenithSimulated
| $622 | $548 | 12.0% | 0.3% | 13 | 46 |
Lugia Secret RareCrown ZenithSimulated
| $440 | $370 | 15.9% | 3.4% | 18 | 44 |
Snorlax (Promo)Crown ZenithSimulated
| $97.84 | $84.56 | 13.6% | 10.3% | 12 | 46 |
Mewtwo Holo RareCrown ZenithCGC 9.5Simulated
| $272 | $258 | 5.1% | 5.7% | 23 | 34 |
Rayquaza Holo RareCrown ZenithPSA 10Simulated
| $321 | $317 | 1.3% | 6.5% | 4 | 29 |
Mew ex (Illustration Rare)Neo GenesisSimulated
| $982 | $831 | 15.4% | 17.0% | 17 | 42 |