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Mew Ultra Rare

PSA 10Simulated

Mew Ultra Rare · Crown Zenith · Ultra Rare · 68/159

Character: Mew

high confidencebearish3330d 8.6%
Estimated Fair Value
$495
Lowest listing $42115.0% below
Bear Case
$419
Base Case
$495
Bull Case
$568

Price History

Dec 2Range $420$678May 30

Opportunity Score

51
  • 15% below fair value+18 pts
  • Sales accelerating+11 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (10 sales/mo)+3 pts

Investment Thesis

bearish33

Mew Ultra Rare (PSA 10) is currently trading at a meaningful discount to fair value, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-8.6%). Estimated fair value is $495 against a lowest active listing of $421. Valuation confidence is high based on 19-plus recent comparable sales.

Bearish: softening prices (-8.6% over 30d) amid healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
19
Sales / Month
10.5
Velocity Score
53/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
+27.4%
Total Graded
4,493
Gem Mint
2,329
Population Growth
+4.9%
Slowing

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps494.8950%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices483.9125%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection450.9225%
population pressureAdjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value)-2.4450%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)5.4820%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$452Facebook MarketplaceGraded6416d agoJan 1View
$470eBayGraded8416d agoJun 1View
$489eBayGraded7920d agoJan 1View
$504Facebook MarketplaceGraded6715d agoJan 1View
$515eBayGraded6514d agoJan 1View
$515PWCCGraded6021d agoJun 4View
$577PWCCGraded9114d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$549eBayGraded4h ago
$554PWCCGraded5d ago
$533Facebook MarketplaceGraded6d ago
$524MercariGraded9d ago
$514Facebook MarketplaceGraded22d ago
$466PWCCGraded31d ago
$492eBayGraded32d ago
$508MercariGraded43d ago
$637MercariGraded46d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
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  • Low active inventory+6 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
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  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
$982$83115.4%17.0%1742