Lucario Promo
CGC 9.5SimulatedLucario Promo · Neo Genesis · Promo · 41/111
Character: Lucario
Price History
Opportunity Score
29- Reputable seller+7 pts
- High valuation confidence+6 pts
- Price up 15% over 30 days+6 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Strong demand (7 sales/mo)+2 pts
- Sales accelerating+2 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish81Lucario Promo (CGC 9.5) is currently fairly valued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+15.3%). Estimated fair value is $427 against a lowest active listing of $432. Valuation confidence is high based on 22-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+15.3% over 30d) with thin liquidity and rising graded population (7.0%/mo).
Risk Indicators
- Rising graded population may pressure prices
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 410.72 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 496.02 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 437.19 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -3.49 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 0.75 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $376 | Mercari | Graded | 97 | 4d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $391 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 61 | 6d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $398 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 65 | 16d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $398 | PWCC | Graded | 100 | 2d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $399 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 68 | 19d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $410 | PWCC | Graded | 74 | 16d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $421 | eBay | Graded | 79 | 17d ago | Jun 2 | View |
| $424 | eBay | Graded | 94 | 5d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $430 | Mercari | Graded | 82 | 19d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $430 | Mercari | Graded | 73 | 23h ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $439 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 61 | 5d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $461 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 83 | 6d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $428 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 5d ago |
| $472 | PWCC | Graded | 7d ago |
| $552 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 21d ago |
| $502 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 29d ago |
| $426 | eBay | Graded | 31d ago |
| $397 | eBay | Graded | 34d ago |
| $415 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 38d ago |
| $482 | PWCC | Graded | 42d ago |
| $433 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 43d ago |
| $448 | eBay | Graded | 44d ago |
| $417 | PWCC | Graded | 46d ago |
| $493 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 50d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lugia (Neo Genesis)Neo GenesisPSA 9Simulated
| $1,255 | $987 | 21.3% | 33.1% | 18 | 51 |
Umbreon VMAX (Alt Art)Neo GenesisSimulated
| $1,469 | $1,435 | 2.3% | 17.9% | 5 | 35 |
Mew ex (Illustration Rare)Neo GenesisSimulated
| $1,055 | $840 | 20.4% | 17.0% | 19 | 58 |
Rayquaza PromoNeo GenesisSimulated
| $552 | $474 | 14.2% | 11.5% | 21 | 35 |
Blastoise ex (Illustration Rare)Neo GenesisSimulated
| $475 | $454 | 4.3% | 19.8% | 8 | 36 |
Gardevoir PromoNeo GenesisSimulated
| $279 | $264 | 5.6% | 10.2% | 20 | 30 |