Lucario V (Full Art)
SimulatedLucario V (Full Art) · Prismatic Evolutions · Full Art · 120/180
Character: Lucario
Price History
Opportunity Score
45- 17% below fair value+20 pts
- Reputable seller+7 pts
- Sales accelerating+6 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- High valuation confidence+5 pts
- Strong demand (5 sales/mo)+2 pts
Investment Thesis
bearish22Lucario V (Full Art) is currently trading at a meaningful discount to fair value, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-14.4%). Estimated fair value is $140 against a lowest active listing of $116. Valuation confidence is high based on 12-plus recent comparable sales.
Bearish: softening prices (-14.4% over 30d) amid thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
Risk Indicators
- Negative price momentum over the last 30 days
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 144.05 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 131.8 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 123.39 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 3.11 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $100 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 97 | 4d ago | Jun 4 | View |
| $102 | PWCC | Near Mint | 95 | 8d ago | Jun 4 | View |
| $103 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 87 | 4d ago | Jun 2 | View |
| $106 | Mercari | Near Mint | 81 | 4d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $106 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 88 | 10d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $108 | Mercari | Near Mint | 96 | 11d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $113 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 97 | 17d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $113 | Mercari | Near Mint | 64 | 3d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $113 | eBay | Near Mint | 76 | 3d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $123 | eBay | Near Mint | 89 | 5d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $123 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 73 | 18d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $125 | Mercari | Near Mint | 62 | 23h ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $112 | PWCC | Near Mint | 6d ago |
| $113 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 9d ago |
| $121 | Mercari | Near Mint | 9d ago |
| $116 | Mercari | Near Mint | 12d ago |
| $119 | eBay | Near Mint | 12d ago |
| $115 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 13d ago |
| $109 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 13d ago |
| $122 | Mercari | Near Mint | 15d ago |
| $125 | PWCC | Near Mint | 16d ago |
| $136 | Mercari | Near Mint | 16d ago |
| $133 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 18d ago |
| $119 | Mercari | Near Mint | 18d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
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