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Sylveon ex (Illustration Rare)

Simulated

Sylveon ex (Illustration Rare) · Neo Genesis · Illustration Rare · 74/111

Character: Sylveon

high confidencebearish2630d 17.9%
Estimated Fair Value
$918
Lowest listing $76816.4% below
Bear Case
$763
Base Case
$918
Bull Case
$1,065

Price History

Dec 2Range $531$861May 30

Opportunity Score

43
  • 16% below fair value+19 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (15 sales/mo)+5 pts

Investment Thesis

bearish26

Sylveon ex (Illustration Rare) is currently trading at a meaningful discount to fair value, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-17.9%). Estimated fair value is $918 against a lowest active listing of $768. Valuation confidence is high based on 10-plus recent comparable sales.

Bearish: softening prices (-17.9% over 30d) amid healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Risk Indicators

  • Negative price momentum over the last 30 days
Active Listings
10
Sales / Month
15.0
Velocity Score
75/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+1.5%
Confidence
96/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps980.7650%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices842.7725%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection856.525%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)0.320%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$572TCGPlayerNear Mint902d agoJun 3View
$635eBayNear Mint8813d agoJan 1View
$657TCGPlayerNear Mint7623h agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$597eBayNear Mint5d ago
$605PWCCNear Mint6d ago
$603PWCCNear Mint7d ago
$647PWCCNear Mint7d ago
$576Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint8d ago
$580PWCCNear Mint9d ago
$597TCGPlayerNear Mint14d ago
$617MercariNear Mint17d ago
$612PWCCNear Mint20d ago
$660PWCCNear Mint20d ago
$668PWCCNear Mint21d ago
$666Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint23d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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