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Weezing — EX Ruby & Sapphire — Rare

Weezing

PSA 9.5Simulated

Weezing · EX Ruby & Sapphire · Rare · 24

Character: Weezing

high confidencebullish6930d ▲7.3%
Estimated Fair Value
$128
Lowest listing $11510.1% below
Search live listings:eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
Bear Case
$107
Base Case
$128
Bull Case
$149

Price History

Dec 8Range $92.54 – $158Jun 5

Opportunity Score

38
  • 10% below fair value+12 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+5 pts
  • Price up 7% over 30 days+3 pts
  • Strong demand (10 sales/mo)+3 pts
  • Population growth slowing+2 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish69

Weezing (PSA 9.5) is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+7.3%). Estimated fair value is $128 against a lowest active listing of $115. Valuation confidence is high based on 10-plus modeled comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+7.3% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
10
Sales / Month
9.5
Velocity Score
48/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
-10.8%
Total Graded
469
Gem Mint
221
Population Growth
+3.5%
Slowing

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.

Grading ROI (model)
-76.8%
Grading not economical
steady population

Population growing 3.8%/mo — steady supply across 6931 graded.

6,931 graded · 38% gem · +3.8%/mo

Raw cost
$115
All-in cost
$144+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
Graded value (per gem)
$128
Expected proceeds
$33.3330% gem → $38.31 · less 13% fee
Net profit / card
-$110.51
Breakeven graded value
$551value needed to break even

Adjust modeled assumptions

These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.

  • Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 9.5 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
  • Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
  • Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
  • Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Simulated
Days to sell
3.4dmodeled median sale gap
Sell-through
82.0%over 90d window
Bid-ask spread
+3.4%lowest ask vs sold avg
Inventory depth
3active listings
Recent sold avg
$108mean over 90d
Lowest ask
$112cheapest active listing

Comp Explorer

Min
$98.31
Median
$114
Mean
$115
Max
$139

Showing 28 of 28 sales

These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps128.3650%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices134.4425%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection140.2525%
population pressureAdjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value)-1.7550%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)-2.1620%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$112eBayGraded9259d agoJan 1View
$115eBayGraded8367d agoJun 9View
$131eBayGraded7468d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$114PWCCGraded55d ago
$107eBayGraded55d ago
$106PWCCGraded59d ago
$111TCGPlayerGraded61d ago
$99.10PWCCGraded61d ago
$111TCGPlayerGraded67d ago
$101eBayGraded71d ago
$106eBayGraded76d ago
$114TCGPlayerGraded79d ago
$108PWCCGraded80d ago
$107eBayGraded84d ago
$116MercariGraded85d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Fair value basis
Simulated
Lowest ask (deal)
Simulated
Active listings
Simulated
Card image
Live
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Liquidity analytics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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Blaziken — EX Ruby & Sapphire — Rare Holo
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  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
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