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Mew Promo

Simulated

Mew Promo · Base Set · Promo · 69/102

Character: Mew

high confidencebearish2330d 15.3%
Estimated Fair Value
$478
Lowest listing $41513.2% below
Bear Case
$407
Base Case
$478
Bull Case
$547

Price History

Dec 2Range $442 – $623May 30

Opportunity Score

37
  • 13% below fair value+15 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+6 pts
  • Strong demand (9 sales/mo)+3 pts

Investment Thesis

bearish23

Mew Promo is currently modestly undervalued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-15.3%). Estimated fair value is $478 against a lowest active listing of $415. Valuation confidence is high based on 18-plus recent comparable sales.

Bearish: softening prices (-15.3% over 30d) amid thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Risk Indicators

  • Negative price momentum over the last 30 days
Active Listings
18
Sales / Month
9.0
Velocity Score
45/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
-10.7%
Confidence
97/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps500.2950%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices465.5625%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection486.5125%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)-2.1420%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$513eBayNear Mint9820d agoJan 1View
$515eBayNear Mint6212d agoJun 1View
$517eBayNear Mint638d agoJan 1View
$521Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint9111d agoJun 1View
$521TCGPlayerNear Mint7019d agoJan 1View
$532PWCCNear Mint7614d agoJan 1View
$545MercariNear Mint6517d agoJan 1View
$549eBayNear Mint8020d agoJan 1View
$555MercariNear Mint616d agoJun 1View
$584TCGPlayerNear Mint8312d agoMay 31View
$611MercariNear Mint626d agoJan 1View
$621TCGPlayerNear Mint7312d agoJun 3View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$540Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint3d ago
$625TCGPlayerNear Mint3d ago
$559MercariNear Mint10d ago
$540Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint10d ago
$575MercariNear Mint13d ago
$548Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint13d ago
$576PWCCNear Mint14d ago
$671MercariNear Mint15d ago
$610MercariNear Mint16d ago
$598Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint19d ago
$561PWCCNear Mint25d ago
$612TCGPlayerNear Mint28d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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