PokéAlpha
Live data not configuredNumbers are backed by a real but dated snapshot. Enable real marketplace listings for live intelligence.How to enable
Back to dashboard
Jumpluff — Evolving Skies — Rare Holo

Jumpluff

Simulated

Jumpluff · Evolving Skies · Rare Holo · 4

Character: Jumpluff

high confidenceneutral4130d 6.6%
Estimated Fair Value
$66.08
Lowest listing $59.829.5% below
Search live listings:eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
Bear Case
$56.60
Base Case
$66.08
Bull Case
$75.23

Price History

Dec 8Range $57.07 – $83.07Jun 5

Opportunity Score

36
  • 9% below fair value+11 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (7 sales/mo)+2 pts
  • Low active inventory+2 pts
  • Sales accelerating+1 pts

Investment Thesis

neutral41

Jumpluff is currently modestly undervalued, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-6.6%). Estimated fair value is $66 against a lowest active listing of $60. Valuation confidence is high based on 8-plus modeled comparable sales.

Neutral: softening prices (-6.6% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
8
Sales / Month
7.0
Velocity Score
35/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
+2.8%
Confidence
89/100

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.

Grading ROI (model)
-29.7%
Grading not economical
unknown population

No population data reported for this asset.

Raw cost
$59.82
All-in cost
$88.82+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
Graded value (per gem)
$239
Expected proceeds
$62.4530% gem → $71.78 · less 13% fee
Net profit / card
-$26.37
Breakeven graded value
$340value needed to break even

Adjust modeled assumptions

These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.

  • Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
  • Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
  • Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
  • Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Simulated
Days to sell
4.0dmodeled median sale gap
Sell-through
67.0%over 90d window
Bid-ask spread
-2.4%lowest ask vs sold avg
Inventory depth
2active listings
Recent sold avg
$77.85mean over 90d
Lowest ask
$76.01cheapest active listing

Comp Explorer

Min
$64.86
Median
$69.63
Mean
$70.94
Max
$79.86

Showing 8 of 9 sales · 1 outlier trimmed

These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps65.7550%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices70.7125%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection60.625%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)0.5620%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$76.01TCGPlayerNear Mint7070d agoJan 1View
$91.72Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint6271d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$84.94TCGPlayerNear Mint59d ago
$71.37Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint63d ago
$75.21PWCCNear Mint78d ago
$79.86Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint80d ago
$64.86Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint99d ago
$69.80TCGPlayerNear Mint102d ago
$69.45Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint107d ago
$68.76PWCCNear Mint108d ago
$68.21MercariNear Mint109d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Fair value basis
Simulated
Lowest ask (deal)
Simulated
Active listings
Simulated
Card image
Live
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Liquidity analytics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Related Assets

Same character or set.

AssetFair ValueLowestDiscount30dAvailScore
Moonbreon — Evolving Skies — Alt Art
MoonbreonEvolving SkiesPSA 10Live-anchoredReal askas of Jun 4 · 56d oldsold-comp center2nd source (tcgcsv): $2,261 · sales-derived, ungradedBuy $1,820 · TCGPlayer
  • 12% below fair value+14 pts
  • Sales accelerating+11 pts
  • Low active inventory+9 pts
eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
$2,058$1,82011.6%3.3%157
Rayquaza VMAX (Alt Art) — Evolving Skies — Alt Art
Rayquaza VMAX (Alt Art)Evolving SkiesPSA 10Live-anchoredReal askas of Jun 4 · 56d oldsold-comp center2nd source (tcgcsv): $983 · sales-derived, ungradedView $850 · TCGPlayer
  • 8% below fair value+10 pts
  • Low active inventory+9 pts
  • Population growth slowing+8 pts
eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
$2,027$1,8618.2%7.6%147
Evolving Skies Booster Box — Evolving Skies — Sealed
Evolving Skies Booster BoxEvolving SkiesSimulated
  • Price up 23% over 30 days+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
$11,166$11,0571.0%23.1%735
Sylveon VMAX (Alt Art) — Evolving Skies — Alt Art
Sylveon VMAX (Alt Art)Evolving SkiesPSA 10Live-anchoredReal askas of Jun 4 · 56d oldsold-comp center2nd source (tcgcsv): $384 · sales-derived, ungradedView $450 · TCGPlayer
  • Sales accelerating+11 pts
  • Low active inventory+9 pts
  • Price up 26% over 30 days+8 pts
eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
$719$774-7.7%26.5%143
Raichu — Evolving Skies — Rare Holo
RaichuEvolving SkiesSimulated
  • 9% below fair value+11 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • Price up 16% over 30 days+6 pts
eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
$86.75$78.629.4%15.9%1740
Lilligant — Evolving Skies — Rare
LilligantEvolving SkiesSimulated
  • 11% below fair value+12 pts
  • Price up 19% over 30 days+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
$74.96$67.0610.5%18.6%1543