Slaking
BGS 10SimulatedSlaking · EX Ruby & Sapphire · Rare Holo · 12
Character: Slaking
Price History
Opportunity Score
50- 15% below fair value+18 pts
- Sales accelerating+10 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- Reputable seller+6 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- Strong demand (12 sales/mo)+4 pts
Investment Thesis
bearish39Slaking (BGS 10) is currently trading at a meaningful discount to fair value, with softening price momentum over the last 30 days (-5.5%). Estimated fair value is $38 against a lowest active listing of $32. Valuation confidence is high based on 9-plus modeled comparable sales.
Bearish: softening prices (-5.5% over 30d) amid healthy trading velocity and rising graded population (6.5%/mo).
Risk Indicators
- Rising graded population may pressure prices
Grading ROI & Population Trend
Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.
Population growth slowing to 1.3%/mo — supply tightening across 4372 graded.
4,372 graded · 31% gem · +1.3%/mo
- Raw cost
- $32.29
- All-in cost
- $61.29+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
- Graded value (per gem)
- $38.16
- Expected proceeds
- $9.9630% gem → $11.45 · less 13% fee
- Net profit / card
- -$51.33
- Breakeven graded value
- $235value needed to break even
Adjust modeled assumptions
These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.
- Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of BGS 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
- Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
- Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
- Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.
Liquidity & Comp Explorer
- Days to sell
- 1.2dmodeled median sale gap
- Sell-through
- 77.0%over 90d window
- Bid-ask spread
- -25.6%lowest ask vs sold avg
- Inventory depth
- 7active listings
- Recent sold avg
- $168mean over 90d
- Lowest ask
- $125cheapest active listing
Comp Explorer
- Min
- $127
- Median
- $169
- Mean
- $163
- Max
- $186
Showing 37 of 37 sales
These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 39.34 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 36.69 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 35.19 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -3.25 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 4.79 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $125 | Mercari | Graded | 80 | 65d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $126 | Mercari | Graded | 97 | 55d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $128 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 74 | 63d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $128 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 74 | 60d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $142 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 69 | 67d ago | Jun 9 | View |
| $143 | eBay | Graded | 96 | 73d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $151 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 93 | 66d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $133 | PWCC | Graded | 55d ago |
| $149 | Mercari | Graded | 57d ago |
| $183 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 59d ago |
| $183 | eBay | Graded | 61d ago |
| $186 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 66d ago |
| $178 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 67d ago |
| $173 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 67d ago |
| $178 | PWCC | Graded | 70d ago |
| $174 | Mercari | Graded | 71d ago |
| $162 | Mercari | Graded | 71d ago |
| $172 | eBay | Graded | 72d ago |
| $159 | eBay | Graded | 76d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Fair value basis
- Simulated
- Lowest ask (deal)
- Simulated
- Active listings
- Simulated
- Card image
- Live
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Liquidity analytics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 SharpedoEX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
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SlakingEX Ruby & SapphireSimulated
| $175 | $150 | 14.5% | 5.4% | 22 | 43 |
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