Gengar ex (Illustration Rare)
PSA 9SimulatedGengar ex (Illustration Rare) · HeartGold SoulSilver · Illustration Rare · 29/123
Character: Gengar
Price History
Opportunity Score
37- Low active inventory+6 pts
- High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
- High valuation confidence+6 pts
- Population growth slowing+5 pts
- Reputable seller+5 pts
- Strong demand (8 sales/mo)+3 pts
- Sales accelerating+3 pts
- Price up 6% over 30 days+2 pts
- 1% below fair value+1 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish67Gengar ex (Illustration Rare) (PSA 9) is currently fairly valued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+5.8%). Estimated fair value is $444 against a lowest active listing of $439. Valuation confidence is high based on 4-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+5.8% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 439.5 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 448.34 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 444.51 | 25% |
| population pressure | Adjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value) | -0.95 | 50% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 1.27 | 20% |
Active Listings
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $396 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 1d ago |
| $386 | Mercari | Graded | 2d ago |
| $424 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 6d ago |
| $421 | Mercari | Graded | 6d ago |
| $388 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 9d ago |
| $381 | TCGPlayer | Graded | 11d ago |
| $330 | PWCC | Graded | 15d ago |
| $355 | PWCC | Graded | 16d ago |
| $339 | Facebook Marketplace | Graded | 19d ago |
| $355 | Mercari | Graded | 19d ago |
| $421 | PWCC | Graded | 21d ago |
| $350 | PWCC | Graded | 22d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Umbreon PromoHeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
| $402 | $353 | 12.2% | 5.6% | 14 | 45 |
Pikachu ex (Illustration Rare)HeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
| $449 | $393 | 12.5% | 8.6% | 4 | 51 |
Umbreon Ultra RareHeartGold SoulSilverCGC 9Simulated
| $668 | $567 | 15.1% | 18.0% | 11 | 47 |
Gengar V (Full Art)XY EvolutionsSimulated
| $356 | $351 | 1.5% | 27.6% | 2 | 38 |
Gengar Secret RareHeartGold SoulSilverBGS 9Simulated
| $719 | $673 | 6.4% | 6.1% | 14 | 46 |
Gengar ex (Special Illustration)Hidden FatesSimulated
| $251 | $215 | 14.6% | 1.4% | 17 | 39 |