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Gengar ex (Illustration Rare)

PSA 9Simulated

Gengar ex (Illustration Rare) · HeartGold SoulSilver · Illustration Rare · 29/123

Character: Gengar

high confidencebullish6730d 5.8%
Estimated Fair Value
$444
Lowest listing $4391.1% below
Bear Case
$372
Base Case
$444
Bull Case
$517

Price History

Dec 2Range $266$482May 30

Opportunity Score

37
  • Low active inventory+6 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • Population growth slowing+5 pts
  • Reputable seller+5 pts
  • Strong demand (8 sales/mo)+3 pts
  • Sales accelerating+3 pts
  • Price up 6% over 30 days+2 pts
  • 1% below fair value+1 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish67

Gengar ex (Illustration Rare) (PSA 9) is currently fairly valued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+5.8%). Estimated fair value is $444 against a lowest active listing of $439. Valuation confidence is high based on 4-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+5.8% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
4
Sales / Month
8.5
Velocity Score
43/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
+6.3%
Total Graded
7,796
Gem Mint
3,209
Population Growth
+1.9%
Slowing

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps439.550%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices448.3425%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection444.5125%
population pressureAdjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value)-0.9550%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)1.2720%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$344eBayGraded8113d agoJan 1View
$348TCGPlayerGraded9223h agoJun 3View
$365PWCCGraded8523h agoJan 1View
$368PWCCGraded9613d agoJan 1View
$376TCGPlayerGraded9415d agoJan 1View
$386eBayGraded6312d agoMay 31View
$394MercariGraded6510d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$396Facebook MarketplaceGraded1d ago
$386MercariGraded2d ago
$424TCGPlayerGraded6d ago
$421MercariGraded6d ago
$388TCGPlayerGraded9d ago
$381TCGPlayerGraded11d ago
$330PWCCGraded15d ago
$355PWCCGraded16d ago
$339Facebook MarketplaceGraded19d ago
$355MercariGraded19d ago
$421PWCCGraded21d ago
$350PWCCGraded22d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Same character or set.

AssetFair ValueLowestDiscount30dAvailScore
Umbreon PromoHeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
  • 12% below fair value+14 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$402$35312.2%5.6%1445
Pikachu ex (Illustration Rare)HeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
  • 12% below fair value+15 pts
  • Sales accelerating+10 pts
  • Low active inventory+6 pts
$449$39312.5%8.6%451
Umbreon Ultra RareHeartGold SoulSilverCGC 9Simulated
  • 15% below fair value+18 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • Population growth slowing+7 pts
$668$56715.1%18.0%1147
Gengar V (Full Art)XY EvolutionsSimulated
  • Low active inventory+8 pts
  • Price up 28% over 30 days+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
$356$3511.5%27.6%238
Gengar Secret RareHeartGold SoulSilverBGS 9Simulated
  • Population growth slowing+8 pts
  • 6% below fair value+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$719$6736.4%6.1%1446
Gengar ex (Special Illustration)Hidden FatesSimulated
  • 15% below fair value+17 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$251$21514.6%1.4%1739