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Greninja Holo Rare

Simulated

Greninja Holo Rare · Scarlet & Violet 151 · Holo Rare · 7/207

Character: Greninja

medium confidencebullish8730d 44.9%
Estimated Fair Value
$102
Lowest listing $1010.8% below
Bear Case
$82.68
Base Case
$102
Bull Case
$123

Price History

Dec 2Range $72.94 – $116May 30

Opportunity Score

31
  • Price up 45% over 30 days+8 pts
  • Sales accelerating+8 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+5 pts
  • High valuation confidence+4 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish87

Greninja Holo Rare is currently fairly valued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+44.9%). Estimated fair value is $102 against a lowest active listing of $101. Valuation confidence is medium based on 11-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+44.9% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
11
Sales / Month
3.0
Velocity Score
15/100
Illiquid
Sales Velocity 30d
+19.0%
Confidence
58/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps8650%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices117.4125%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection103.8625%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)3.7920%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$87.78TCGPlayerNear Mint7918d agoJan 1View
$89.63PWCCNear Mint6117d agoJan 1View
$89.75MercariNear Mint1006d agoJun 3View
$89.98eBayNear Mint876d agoJan 1View
$92.55eBayNear Mint9916d agoJun 3View
$92.65Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint8313d agoJan 1View
$97.41Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint677d agoJun 2View
$98.85TCGPlayerNear Mint8113d agoJun 3View
$107PWCCNear Mint6218d agoJun 1View
$110eBayNear Mint8313d agoJun 1View
$114MercariNear Mint6318d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$103eBayNear Mint1d ago
$107eBayNear Mint5d ago
$90.06TCGPlayerNear Mint8d ago
$89.69Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint11d ago
$96.53Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint17d ago
$105PWCCNear Mint25d ago
$91.47TCGPlayerNear Mint29d ago
$81.51MercariNear Mint32d ago
$116MercariNear Mint54d ago
$114Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint56d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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