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Pyroar — Prismatic Evolutions — Uncommon

Pyroar

Simulated

Pyroar · Prismatic Evolutions · Uncommon · 16

Character: Pyroar

high confidenceneutral5630d ▼3.6%
Estimated Fair Value
$40.04
Lowest listing $32.6618.4% below
Search live listings:eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
Bear Case
$32.60
Base Case
$40.04
Bull Case
$47.34

Price History

Dec 8Range $32.25 – $68.10Jun 5

Opportunity Score

57
  • 18% below fair value+22 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • Sales accelerating+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (18 sales/mo)+6 pts
  • Low active inventory+4 pts

Investment Thesis

neutral56

Pyroar is currently trading at a meaningful discount to fair value, with stable price momentum over the last 30 days (-3.6%). Estimated fair value is $40 against a lowest active listing of $33. Valuation confidence is high based on 6-plus modeled comparable sales.

Neutral: flat 30-day price action with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
6
Sales / Month
18.5
Velocity Score
93/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+16.5%
Confidence
87/100

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.

Grading ROI (model)
-44.7%
Grading not economical
unknown population

No population data reported for this asset.

Raw cost
$32.66
All-in cost
$61.66+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
Graded value (per gem)
$131
Expected proceeds
$34.1030% gem → $39.19 · less 13% fee
Net profit / card
-$27.56
Breakeven graded value
$236value needed to break even

Adjust modeled assumptions

These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.

  • Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of PSA 10 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
  • Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
  • Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
  • Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Simulated
Days to sell
4.5dmodeled median sale gap
Sell-through
32.0%over 90d window
Bid-ask spread
-16.3%lowest ask vs sold avg
Inventory depth
17active listings
Recent sold avg
$37.42mean over 90d
Lowest ask
$31.31cheapest active listing

Comp Explorer

Min
$34.55
Median
$38.18
Mean
$41.77
Max
$52.53

Showing 13 of 13 sales

These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps40.4750%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices35.7425%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection38.3725%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)3.2920%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$31.31Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint9764d agoJan 1View
$31.99TCGPlayerNear Mint9273d agoJan 1View
$32.10Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint9957d agoJan 1View
$32.67PWCCNear Mint7575d agoJan 1View
$33.08eBayNear Mint7163d agoJan 1View
$33.60PWCCNear Mint6269d agoJan 1View
$33.88PWCCNear Mint6074d agoJan 1View
$34.02TCGPlayerNear Mint6558d agoJan 1View
$34.74Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint9169d agoJan 1View
$35.21Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint7756d agoJan 1View
$35.60MercariNear Mint9659d agoJan 1View
$36.45eBayNear Mint8268d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$35.17eBayNear Mint55d ago
$34.55Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint56d ago
$34.61TCGPlayerNear Mint60d ago
$34.76eBayNear Mint61d ago
$36.57eBayNear Mint67d ago
$37.37MercariNear Mint67d ago
$38.18TCGPlayerNear Mint73d ago
$48.18eBayNear Mint85d ago
$44.35PWCCNear Mint91d ago
$47.49MercariNear Mint92d ago
$52.53PWCCNear Mint100d ago
$50.67PWCCNear Mint105d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Fair value basis
Simulated
Lowest ask (deal)
Simulated
Active listings
Simulated
Card image
Live
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Liquidity analytics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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