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Dec 2Range $676 – $1.0KMay 30
Estimated Fair Value
$977
Lowest listing $9552.3% below
Bear Case
$814
Base Case
$977
Bull Case
$1,149
Price History
Opportunity Score
35- Price up 20% over 30 days+8 pts
- Reputable seller+8 pts
- High valuation confidence+7 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Strong demand (12 sales/mo)+4 pts
- 2% below fair value+3 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish94Umbreon Holo Rare is currently fairly valued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+20.4%). Estimated fair value is $977 against a lowest active listing of $955. Valuation confidence is high based on 15-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+20.4% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.
Active Listings
15
Sales / Month
11.5
Velocity Score
57/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
-4.0%
Confidence
95/100
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 922.04 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 1066.37 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 1030.47 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | -0.79 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $600 | Mercari | Near Mint | 81 | 2d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $607 | eBay | Near Mint | 75 | 18d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $607 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 94 | 21d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $633 | PWCC | Near Mint | 100 | 8d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $663 | eBay | Near Mint | 69 | 3d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $674 | PWCC | Near Mint | 80 | 9d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $715 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 96 | 16d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $743 | PWCC | Near Mint | 70 | 5d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $761 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 97 | 12d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $772 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 97 | 22h ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $776 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 95 | 4d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $782 | PWCC | Near Mint | 93 | 11d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $804 | eBay | Near Mint | 10d ago |
| $829 | eBay | Near Mint | 12d ago |
| $901 | PWCC | Near Mint | 20d ago |
| $833 | Mercari | Near Mint | 23d ago |
| $869 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 32d ago |
| $805 | PWCC | Near Mint | 32d ago |
| $862 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 35d ago |
| $860 | eBay | Near Mint | 47d ago |
| $906 | PWCC | Near Mint | 49d ago |
| $883 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 52d ago |
| $952 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 53d ago |
| $1,026 | PWCC | Near Mint | 56d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Umbreon PromoScarlet & Violet 151Simulated
| $283 | $255 | 9.8% | 11.6% | 19 | 37 |
MoonbreonEvolving SkiesPSA 10Simulated
| $1,573 | $1,451 | 7.7% | 2.4% | 15 | 44 |
Umbreon Holo RareXY EvolutionsSimulated
| $279 | $220 | 21.1% | 23.8% | 11 | 48 |
Umbreon V (Full Art)Scarlet & Violet 151BGS 9.5Simulated
| $546 | $541 | 1.0% | 12.6% | 10 | 34 |
Umbreon PromoHeartGold SoulSilverSimulated
| $388 | $351 | 9.5% | 3.1% | 22 | 34 |
Umbreon Holo RareEvolving SkiesBGS 9Simulated
| $339 | $306 | 9.6% | 14.7% | 5 | 38 |