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Dec 2Range $229 – $475May 30
Estimated Fair Value
$452
Lowest listing $4285.4% below
Bear Case
$384
Base Case
$452
Bull Case
$524
Price History
Opportunity Score
44- Price up 34% over 30 days+8 pts
- Reputable seller+8 pts
- Sales accelerating+8 pts
- 5% below fair value+6 pts
- High valuation confidence+6 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Strong demand (6 sales/mo)+2 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish90Greninja Holo Rare is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+33.8%). Estimated fair value is $452 against a lowest active listing of $428. Valuation confidence is high based on 17-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+33.8% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
Active Listings
17
Sales / Month
6.5
Velocity Score
33/100
Moderate
Sales Velocity 30d
+18.8%
Confidence
89/100
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 398.01 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 484.11 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 463.35 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 3.76 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $245 | eBay | Near Mint | 88 | 20d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $248 | eBay | Near Mint | 100 | 23h ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $254 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 69 | 15d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $254 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 81 | 15d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $256 | PWCC | Near Mint | 99 | 12d ago | Jun 4 | View |
| $260 | Mercari | Near Mint | 96 | 13d ago | May 31 | View |
| $268 | PWCC | Near Mint | 70 | 14d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $268 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 63 | 8d ago | Jun 2 | View |
| $274 | Mercari | Near Mint | 88 | 13d ago | Jun 1 | View |
| $275 | eBay | Near Mint | 63 | 21d ago | Jun 3 | View |
| $276 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 84 | 18d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $281 | Mercari | Near Mint | 89 | 2d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $285 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 1d ago |
| $276 | PWCC | Near Mint | 2d ago |
| $270 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 3d ago |
| $227 | PWCC | Near Mint | 11d ago |
| $265 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 13d ago |
| $268 | eBay | Near Mint | 14d ago |
| $232 | PWCC | Near Mint | 15d ago |
| $247 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 16d ago |
| $313 | PWCC | Near Mint | 21d ago |
| $294 | PWCC | Near Mint | 22d ago |
| $311 | eBay | Near Mint | 23d ago |
| $324 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 36d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Base ZardBase SetPSA 10Simulated
| $9,423 | $9,196 | 2.4% | 34.7% | 4 | 47 |
Rayquaza ex (Illustration Rare)Base SetSimulated
| $948 | $828 | 12.6% | 8.8% | 23 | 46 |
Base Set Booster Box (Sealed)Base SetSimulated
| $48,098 | $41,111 | 14.5% | 11.9% | 10 | 55 |
Umbreon ex (Special Illustration)Base SetSimulated
| $2,063 | $1,703 | 17.4% | 24.9% | 20 | 43 |
Pikachu Ultra RareBase SetBGS 9Simulated
| $1,270 | $1,234 | 2.8% | 45.3% | 4 | 46 |
Mewtwo Ultra RareBase SetPSA 10Simulated
| $1,991 | $1,908 | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7 | 42 |