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Rotom VSTAR — Crown Zenith — Rare Holo VSTAR

Rotom VSTAR

CGC 9Simulated

Rotom VSTAR · Crown Zenith · Rare Holo VSTAR · 46

Character: Rotom

medium confidencebullish6930d 7.5%
Estimated Fair Value
$50.39
Lowest listing $47.954.8% below
Search live listings:eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
Bear Case
$43.06
Base Case
$50.39
Bull Case
$57.88

Price History

Dec 8Range $44.97 – $97.70Jun 5

Opportunity Score

40
  • Population growth slowing+7 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • Low active inventory+6 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • 5% below fair value+6 pts
  • High valuation confidence+4 pts
  • Price up 7% over 30 days+3 pts
  • Strong demand (4 sales/mo)+1 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish69

Rotom VSTAR (CGC 9) is currently fairly valued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+7.5%). Estimated fair value is $50 against a lowest active listing of $48. Valuation confidence is medium based on 4-plus modeled comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+7.5% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
4
Sales / Month
4.0
Velocity Score
20/100
Illiquid
Sales Velocity 30d
-2.4%
Total Graded
3,958
Gem Mint
1,135
Population Growth
+0.5%
Stable supply

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.

Grading ROI (model)
-82.9%
Grading not economical
slowing population

Population growth slowing to -0.3%/mo — supply tightening across 1063 graded.

1,063 graded · 31% gem · -0.3%/mo

Raw cost
$47.95
All-in cost
$76.95+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
Graded value (per gem)
$50.39
Expected proceeds
$13.1530% gem → $15.12 · less 13% fee
Net profit / card
-$63.80
Breakeven graded value
$295value needed to break even

Adjust modeled assumptions

These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.

  • Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of CGC 9 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
  • Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
  • Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
  • Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Simulated
Days to sell
1.7dmodeled median sale gap
Sell-through
45.0%over 90d window
Bid-ask spread
-4.1%lowest ask vs sold avg
Inventory depth
21active listings
Recent sold avg
$57.55mean over 90d
Lowest ask
$55.19cheapest active listing

Comp Explorer

Min
$48.23
Median
$59.05
Mean
$58.26
Max
$67.71

Showing 20 of 21 sales · 1 outlier trimmed

These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps48.9750%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices53.8225%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection51.2725%
population pressureAdjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value)-0.2550%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)-0.4820%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$55.19Facebook MarketplaceGraded6971d agoJan 1View
$55.40eBayGraded6562d agoJan 1View
$57.34TCGPlayerGraded8567d agoJun 7View
$59.11MercariGraded8766d agoJan 1View
$59.52TCGPlayerGraded8556d agoJan 1View
$59.97eBayGraded9659d agoJun 6View
$60.06MercariGraded7174d agoJan 1View
$62.94TCGPlayerGraded6275d agoJan 1View
$63.61PWCCGraded8965d agoJan 1View
$64.54TCGPlayerGraded7861d agoJan 1View
$65.71Facebook MarketplaceGraded9060d agoJan 1View
$67.15PWCCGraded7873d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$66.45PWCCGraded55d ago
$58.56eBayGraded56d ago
$59.91Facebook MarketplaceGraded56d ago
$55.81PWCCGraded56d ago
$57.33eBayGraded60d ago
$59.47MercariGraded61d ago
$58.63TCGPlayerGraded62d ago
$50.80eBayGraded65d ago
$62.13MercariGraded66d ago
$54.68eBayGraded66d ago
$52.10Facebook MarketplaceGraded68d ago
$49.24eBayGraded72d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Fair value basis
Simulated
Lowest ask (deal)
Simulated
Active listings
Simulated
Card image
Live
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Liquidity analytics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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