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Tyranitar Ultra Rare card artwork

Tyranitar Ultra Rare

Simulated

Tyranitar Ultra Rare · Neo Genesis · Ultra Rare · 70/111

Character: Tyranitar

high confidencebullish9930d ▲80.9%
Estimated Fair Value
$627
Lowest listing $5876.5% below
Bear Case
$488
Base Case
$627
Bull Case
$777

Price History

Dec 2Range $356 – $708May 30

Opportunity Score

51
  • Sales accelerating+10 pts
  • Price up 81% over 30 days+8 pts
  • 6% below fair value+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (18 sales/mo)+6 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish99

Tyranitar Ultra Rare is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+80.9%). Estimated fair value is $627 against a lowest active listing of $587. Valuation confidence is high based on 21-plus recent comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+80.9% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
21
Sales / Month
18.5
Velocity Score
93/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+26.0%
Confidence
92/100

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps540.0750%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices680.7425%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection623.5325%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)5.220%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$353PWCCNear Mint7319d agoJan 1View
$356eBayNear Mint7513d agoJan 1View
$368Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint9315d agoJan 1View
$391TCGPlayerNear Mint7212d agoJan 1View
$447Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint9715d agoJun 3View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$366eBayNear Mint16h ago
$362Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint1d ago
$398eBayNear Mint1d ago
$364MercariNear Mint4d ago
$400Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint5d ago
$392MercariNear Mint5d ago
$391PWCCNear Mint5d ago
$403TCGPlayerNear Mint8d ago
$447eBayNear Mint9d ago
$492TCGPlayerNear Mint12d ago
$434TCGPlayerNear Mint13d ago
$482Facebook MarketplaceNear Mint18d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Card image
Simulated
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

Related Assets

Same character or set.

AssetFair ValueLowestDiscount30dAvailScore
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  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
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Umbreon VMAX (Alt Art)Neo GenesisSimulated
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  • Sales accelerating+8 pts
  • Price up 36% over 30 days+8 pts
$1,664$1,5099.3%▲35.5%2348
Mew ex (Illustration Rare)Neo GenesisSimulated
  • 11% below fair value+13 pts
  • Reputable seller+8 pts
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
$970$85911.5%▼6.5%1039
Rayquaza PromoNeo GenesisSimulated
  • 13% below fair value+16 pts
  • Sales accelerating+9 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
$561$48613.4%▼8.1%748
Blastoise ex (Illustration Rare)Neo GenesisSimulated
  • 8% below fair value+10 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
$509$4668.4%▲6.1%841
Gardevoir PromoNeo GenesisSimulated
  • High valuation confidence+7 pts
  • High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
  • Reputable seller+5 pts
$309$2973.7%▲4.4%1127