Tyranitar Ultra Rare
SimulatedTyranitar Ultra Rare · Scarlet & Violet 151 · Ultra Rare · 30/207
Character: Tyranitar
Price History
Opportunity Score
44- 15% below fair value+17 pts
- High listing quality (near mint)+6 pts
- Reputable seller+5 pts
- High valuation confidence+5 pts
- Sales accelerating+4 pts
- Low active inventory+3 pts
- Price up 6% over 30 days+3 pts
- Strong demand (4 sales/mo)+1 pts
Investment Thesis
bullish67Tyranitar Ultra Rare is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+6.3%). Estimated fair value is $159 against a lowest active listing of $136. Valuation confidence is medium based on 7-plus recent comparable sales.
Bullish: rising prices (+6.3% over 30d) with thin liquidity and stable graded supply.
How Fair Value Is Built
A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.
| Signal | Detail | Reference | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| recent sales | Volume-weighted average of recent sold comps | 159.57 | 50% |
| listing inventory | Average of active listing asking prices | 147.14 | 25% |
| price trend | Recent historical price trend projection | 157.42 | 25% |
| demand momentum | Adjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value) | 1.94 | 20% |
Active Listings
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Seller | Listed | Ends | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $117 | PWCC | Near Mint | 82 | 17d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $119 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 93 | 15d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $119 | eBay | Near Mint | 67 | 9d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $120 | eBay | Near Mint | 90 | 12d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $129 | PWCC | Near Mint | 97 | 10d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $130 | Mercari | Near Mint | 92 | 3d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $131 | PWCC | Near Mint | 69 | 13d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $131 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 80 | 10d ago | Jun 1 | View |
| $137 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 84 | 5d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $139 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 67 | 13d ago | Jun 3 | View |
| $140 | eBay | Near Mint | 81 | 6d ago | Jan 1 | View |
| $142 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 95 | 10d ago | Jan 1 | View |
Recent Sales
| Price | Marketplace | Condition | Sold |
|---|---|---|---|
| $135 | Mercari | Near Mint | 3h ago |
| $131 | eBay | Near Mint | 17h ago |
| $137 | PWCC | Near Mint | 1d ago |
| $107 | PWCC | Near Mint | 7d ago |
| $104 | Mercari | Near Mint | 17d ago |
| $105 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 18d ago |
| $121 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 21d ago |
| $110 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 23d ago |
| $119 | eBay | Near Mint | 29d ago |
| $138 | PWCC | Near Mint | 30d ago |
| $138 | Facebook Marketplace | Near Mint | 33d ago |
| $124 | TCGPlayer | Near Mint | 35d ago |
Signal Track Record
Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.
Data Provenance
Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.
- Reference price
- Simulated
- Card image
- Simulated
- Recent sales
- Simulated
- Population data
- Simulated
- Liquidity metrics
- Simulated
- Price history
- Simulated
Related Assets
Same character or set.
| Asset | Fair Value | Lowest | Discount | 30d | Avail | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charizard Secret RareScarlet & Violet 151BGS 9.5Simulated
| $827 | $754 | 8.8% | 31.3% | 20 | 61 |
Umbreon PromoScarlet & Violet 151Simulated
| $326 | $291 | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10 | 47 |
Umbreon V (Full Art)Scarlet & Violet 151BGS 9.5Simulated
| $495 | $425 | 14.2% | 8.8% | 2 | 58 |
Umbreon ex (Illustration Rare)Scarlet & Violet 151Simulated
| $296 | $256 | 13.7% | 16.0% | 21 | 55 |
Pikachu (Illustrator-style)Scarlet & Violet 151PSA 10Simulated
| $583 | $508 | 13.0% | 12.9% | 9 | 44 |
Umbreon PromoScarlet & Violet 151Simulated
| $300 | $245 | 18.3% | 12.9% | 13 | 51 |