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Glaceon VMAX — Evolving Skies — Rare Holo VMAX

Glaceon VMAX

CGC 9Simulated

Glaceon VMAX · Evolving Skies · Rare Holo VMAX · 41

Character: Glaceon

high confidencebullish8230d 9.3%
Estimated Fair Value
$55.67
Lowest listing $50.529.3% below
Search live listings:eBay activeeBay soldTCGplayer active
Bear Case
$46.93
Base Case
$55.67
Bull Case
$64.78

Price History

Dec 8Range $67.90 – $115Jun 5

Opportunity Score

56
  • 9% below fair value+11 pts
  • Sales accelerating+8 pts
  • Reputable seller+7 pts
  • High valuation confidence+6 pts
  • High listing quality (graded)+6 pts
  • Strong demand (20 sales/mo)+6 pts
  • Low active inventory+4 pts
  • Population growth slowing+4 pts
  • Price up 9% over 30 days+4 pts

Investment Thesis

bullish82

Glaceon VMAX (CGC 9) is currently modestly undervalued, with rising price momentum over the last 30 days (+9.3%). Estimated fair value is $56 against a lowest active listing of $51. Valuation confidence is high based on 6-plus modeled comparable sales.

Bullish: rising prices (+9.3% over 30d) with healthy trading velocity and stable graded supply.

Active Listings
6
Sales / Month
19.5
Velocity Score
98/100
Fast-moving
Sales Velocity 30d
+21.1%
Total Graded
6,172
Gem Mint
1,650
Population Growth
+2.7%
Slowing

Grading ROI & Population Trend

Is it worth paying to grade this card? A transparent profit model from the real ungraded cost and the audited graded value, plus a read on graded-supply momentum. The cost and odds levers are modeled assumptions you can adjust — not market-price pins.

Grading ROI (model)
-81.7%
Grading not economical
steady population

Population growing 4.0%/mo — steady supply across 7659 graded.

7,659 graded · 31% gem · +4.0%/mo

Raw cost
$50.52
All-in cost
$79.52+ $25.00 fee · $4.00 ship
Graded value (per gem)
$55.67
Expected proceeds
$14.5330% gem → $16.70 · less 13% fee
Net profit / card
-$64.99
Breakeven graded value
$305value needed to break even

Adjust modeled assumptions

These are modeled estimates, not market-price pins.

  • Modeled gem-grade odds: 30% chance of CGC 9 (a modeled probability, not a market price). Non-gem outcomes are valued conservatively at $0.
  • Modeled grading-service fee: $25.00 per card, plus $4.00 shipping/insurance (modeled service costs, not market prices).
  • Modeled marketplace sell fee: 13.0% of graded proceeds (a modeled cost, not a market price).
  • Raw cost and graded value trace to the existing audited references/pins — this panel authors no new market-price value.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

How easily does this asset trade? Days-to-sell, sell-through rate, the spread between the lowest ask and the recent sold center, and inventory depth — all modeled over this asset's recorded sales and active listings. Explore the sale distribution with a date-range filter and an outlier-trim toggle.

Liquidity & Comp Explorer

Simulated
Days to sell
7.1dmodeled median sale gap
Sell-through
19.0%over 90d window
Bid-ask spread
-6.2%lowest ask vs sold avg
Inventory depth
21active listings
Recent sold avg
$90.98mean over 90d
Lowest ask
$85.35cheapest active listing

Comp Explorer

Min
$75.10
Median
$97.40
Mean
$94.33
Max
$103

Showing 10 of 10 sales

These liquidity signals are modeled deterministically over this asset's existing recorded sales and active listings — they author no new market-price value. Days-to-sell, sell-through and the bid-ask spread are analytical reads over those comps, not a live order book.

How Fair Value Is Built

A transparent, weighted blend of market signals — no black boxes.

SignalDetailReferenceWeight
recent salesVolume-weighted average of recent sold comps52.1350%
listing inventoryAverage of active listing asking prices56.9225%
price trendRecent historical price trend projection55.4425%
population pressureAdjustment for grading population growth (more supply lowers value)-1.3550%
demand momentumAdjustment for sales velocity momentum (rising demand raises value)4.2120%

Active Listings

PriceMarketplaceConditionSellerListedEndsLink
$85.35Facebook MarketplaceGraded8960d agoJan 1View
$86.08TCGPlayerGraded8356d agoJan 1View
$86.79PWCCGraded6666d agoJan 1View
$87.04PWCCGraded6771d agoJan 1View
$88.08MercariGraded9661d agoJan 1View
$90.59eBayGraded7259d agoJan 1View
$91.54Facebook MarketplaceGraded6959d agoJan 1View
$92.17MercariGraded9262d agoJan 1View
$96.02PWCCGraded9762d agoJan 1View
$97.40PWCCGraded8056d agoJan 1View
$102TCGPlayerGraded9370d agoJun 7View
$103Facebook MarketplaceGraded8859d agoJan 1View

Recent Sales

PriceMarketplaceConditionSold
$103TCGPlayerGraded55d ago
$99.87TCGPlayerGraded62d ago
$90.62eBayGraded72d ago
$86.14PWCCGraded76d ago
$75.10MercariGraded83d ago
$88.20eBayGraded95d ago
$101PWCCGraded96d ago
$94.92TCGPlayerGraded100d ago
$103TCGPlayerGraded105d ago
$101eBayGraded108d ago

Signal Track Record

Did this asset's own Opportunity Scores precede outperformance? Each row is a past as-of date, scored point-in-time, with the realized benchmark-relative return that followed.

Data Provenance

Which signals on this page are real market data versus modeled by the deterministic engine. The terminal marks every source honestly.

Reference price
Simulated
Fair value basis
Simulated
Lowest ask (deal)
Simulated
Active listings
Simulated
Card image
Live
Recent sales
Simulated
Population data
Simulated
Liquidity metrics
Simulated
Liquidity analytics
Simulated
Price history
Simulated

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